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Tightly Contested Predictions

Most evenly matched fixtures by predicted outcome probabilities — Saturday 19 October 2024

These fixtures have the smallest gap between home and away win probability — meaning neither team has a significant edge. Our prediction model scores each fixture by how evenly the outcome probabilities are spread across all three results. Fixtures at the top are closest to a perfect 33% / 33% / 33% split, making them prime candidates for the draw and double-chance markets.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Canadian Premier League · Canada
Pacific FC
1 : 0 FT
Forge
Win 35%
Draw 29%
Win 36%
BTTS Yes 58%
#2 Czech Liga · Czech-Republic
Sparta Praha
2 : 1 FT
Slovan Liberec
✓ Win 38%
Draw 25%
Win 37%
✓ Over 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS Yes 70%
#3 2. Bundesliga · Germany
1. FC Kaiserslautern
3 : 0 FT
SC Paderborn 07
✓ Win 39%
Draw 23%
Win 38%
✓ Over 2.5 80% BTTS Yes 79%
#4 Premier League · Russia
Nizhny Novgorod
1 : 1 FT
FC Rostov
Win 36%
Draw 27%
Win 37%
Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 66%
#5 League One · England
Huddersfield
3 : 1 FT
Bristol Rovers
Win 35%
Draw 27%
Win 38%
Under 2.5 54%
#6 Super League 1 · Greece
Atromitos
0 : 2 FT
Panetolikos
Win 35%
Draw 32%
Win 33%
BTTS Yes 56%
#7 Eredivisie · Netherlands
GO Ahead Eagles
1 : 5 FT
Feyenoord
Win 35%
Draw 26%
✓ Win 39%
✓ Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
#8 Super League · Switzerland
Grasshoppers
1 : 2 FT
FC Zurich
Win 40%
Draw 23%
Win 37%
✓ Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%
#9 K League 1 · South-Korea
Incheon United
1 : 2 FT
Jeju United FC
Win 37%
Draw 29%
Win 33%
Under 2.5 64% BTTS No 57%
#10 La Liga · Spain
Celta Vigo
1 : 2 FT
Real Madrid
Win 32%
Draw 32%
✓ Win 36%
Under 2.5 56%
#11 League One · England
Rotherham
0 : 1 FT
Wrexham
Win 36%
Draw 32%
Win 32%
✓ Under 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS No 63%
#12 Bundesliga · Austria
FC BW Linz
0 : 1 FT
Wolfsberger AC
Win 40%
Draw 25%
Win 35%
BTTS Yes 56%
#13 Serie B · Italy
Cittadella
0 : 0 FT
Cosenza
Win 31%
Draw 32%
Win 37%
✓ Under 2.5 59%
#14 League One · England
Charlton
1 : 1 FT
Stockport County
Win 37%
Draw 31%
Win 32%
✓ Under 2.5 68% BTTS No 61%
#15 Czech Liga · Czech-Republic
Dukla Praha
2 : 1 FT
Pardubice
Win 33%
Draw 29%
Win 38%
✓ Over 2.5 53% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
#16 Championship · England
Oxford United
1 : 1 FT
West Brom
Win 39%
Draw 28%
Win 33%
✓ Under 2.5 53%
#17 Bundesliga · Germany
Bayer Leverkusen
2 : 1 FT
Eintracht Frankfurt
✓ Win 42%
Draw 22%
Win 36%
✓ Over 2.5 77% ✓ BTTS Yes 76%
#18 League Two · England
Carlisle
1 : 1 FT
Harrogate Town
Win 34%
Draw 27%
Win 39%
✓ Under 2.5 54%
#19 Ekstraklasa · Poland
Cracovia Krakow
0 : 2 FT
Lech Poznan
Win 35%
Draw 25%
✓ Win 41%
Over 2.5 55% BTTS Yes 58%
#20 Premier League · England
Ipswich
0 : 2 FT
Everton
Win 39%
Draw 29%
Win 32%
Over 2.5 59% BTTS Yes 63%

Showing top 20 most evenly matched fixtures (draw probability ≥ 22%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.