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Team Over 1.5 Goals Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest team over 1.5 probability β€” Sunday 18 January 2026

Team over 1.5 goals lands when the selected side scores at least twice, whatever the opposition does. Our prediction model sums every scoreline where that side reaches 2 goals, backing whichever team has the higher figure. Only selections at 55%+ probability are shown.

16 matches cleared our threshold on Sunday 18 January 2026. NEOM vs Al-Hilal Saudi FC (Al-Hilal Saudi FC over 1.5 goals) led the list at 72% in the Pro League. The shortlist runs from 72% down to 55%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

Eerste Divisie supplies three of the top 10, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Of the 16 fixtures on this list that have since finished, nine landed the team over 1.5 goals market — 56%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia Al-Hilal Saudi FC over 1.5 goals 72%
NEOM
1 : 2 FT
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
Win 11%
Draw 16%
βœ“ Win 73%
✓ Over 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS Yes 55%
#2 Ligue 1 Β· France Strasbourg over 1.5 goals 71%
Strasbourg
2 : 1 FT
Metz
βœ“ Win 73%
Draw 16%
Win 11%
✓ Over 2.5 65%
#3 Super League 1 Β· Greece PAOK over 1.5 goals 69%
PAOK
3 : 0 FT
OFI
βœ“ Win 75%
Draw 16%
Win 9%
✓ Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 55%
#4 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands Den Bosch over 1.5 goals 67%
Den Bosch
1 : 2 FT
MVV
Win 64%
Draw 19%
Win 17%
✓ Over 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
#5 La Liga Β· Spain Barcelona over 1.5 goals 65%
Real Sociedad
2 : 1 FT
Barcelona
Win 22%
Draw 22%
Win 56%
✓ Over 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS Yes 67%
#6 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia Al-Qadisiyah FC over 1.5 goals 64%
Al-Hazm
1 : 5 FT
Al-Qadisiyah FC
Win 17%
Draw 20%
βœ“ Win 63%
✓ Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
#7 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands Almere City FC over 1.5 goals 64%
Almere City FC
2 : 0 FT
De Graafschap
βœ“ Win 43%
Draw 20%
Win 36%
Over 2.5 78% BTTS Yes 76%
#8 La Liga Β· Spain Atletico Madrid over 1.5 goals 63%
Atletico Madrid
1 : 0 FT
Alaves
βœ“ Win 69%
Draw 21%
Win 10%
Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS No 54%
#9 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands Twente over 1.5 goals 60%
Heracles
0 : 2 FT
Twente
Win 31%
Draw 21%
βœ“ Win 48%
Over 2.5 71% BTTS Yes 70%
#10 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands FC Eindhoven over 1.5 goals 60%
FC Eindhoven
0 : 2 FT
Willem II
Win 49%
Draw 22%
Win 29%
Over 2.5 69% BTTS Yes 69%
#11 Ligue 1 Β· France Lyon over 1.5 goals 59%
Lyon
2 : 1 FT
Stade Brestois 29
βœ“ Win 59%
Draw 21%
Win 19%
✓ Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#12 Ligue 1 Β· France Rennes over 1.5 goals 59%
Rennes
1 : 1 FT
Le Havre
Win 63%
Draw 21%
Win 16%
Over 2.5 54%
#13 Pro League Β· United-Arab-Emirates Al Bataeh over 1.5 goals 58%
Baniyas SC
1 : 1 FT
Al Bataeh
Win 17%
Draw 22%
Win 61%
Over 2.5 55%
#14 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal SC Braga over 1.5 goals 57%
Tondela
0 : 1 FT
SC Braga
Win 19%
Draw 22%
βœ“ Win 59%
Over 2.5 56% BTTS Yes 53%
#15 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands Feyenoord over 1.5 goals 56%
Feyenoord
3 : 4 FT
Sparta Rotterdam
Win 53%
Draw 22%
Win 25%
✓ Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
#16 Thai League 1 Β· Thailand Buriram United over 1.5 goals 55%
Buriram United
8 : 1 FT
Chiangrai United
βœ“ Win 55%
Draw 25%
Win 20%
✓ Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%

Showing top 16 fixtures by team over 1.5 probability (a 55% or higher chance of one side scoring 2 or more). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Team Over 1.5 Goals β€” common questions

What does the Team Over 1.5 Goals market mean?

Team Over 1.5 Goals settles on whether a match sees the selected side score at least twice. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate team over 1.5 goals probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The team over 1.5 probability shown here is the probability that the selected side scores at least twice, summed across every scoreline in the model's matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Team Over 1.5 Goals on Sunday 18 January 2026?

16 fixtures met the criteria, led by NEOM vs Al-Hilal Saudi FC (Al-Hilal Saudi FC over 1.5 goals) at 72% team over 1.5 probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 55% or higher chance of one side scoring 2 or more, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these team over 1.5 goals predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.