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Team Over 1.5 Goals Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest team over 1.5 probability β€” Sunday 16 July 2023

Team over 1.5 goals lands when the selected side scores at least twice, whatever the opposition does. Our prediction model sums every scoreline where that side reaches 2 goals, backing whichever team has the higher figure. Only selections at 55%+ probability are shown.

Eight matches cleared our threshold on Sunday 16 July 2023. Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Ham-Kam (Sarpsborg 08 FF over 1.5 goals) led the list at 80% in the Eliteserien. The shortlist runs from 80% down to 56%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

Eliteserien supplies three of the top 8, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Of the eight fixtures on this list that have since finished, four landed the team over 1.5 goals market — 50%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Eliteserien Β· Norway Sarpsborg 08 FF over 1.5 goals 80%
Sarpsborg 08 FF
2 : 3 FT
Ham-Kam
Win 76%
Draw 14%
Win 11%
✓ Over 2.5 78% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
#2 K League 1 Β· South-Korea Jeonbuk Motors over 1.5 goals 72%
Jeonbuk Motors
1 : 0 FT
Suwon City FC
βœ“ Win 72%
Draw 19%
Win 10%
Over 2.5 67% BTTS Yes 56%
#3 Eliteserien Β· Norway Lillestrom over 1.5 goals 69%
Lillestrom
4 : 2 FT
Sandefjord
βœ“ Win 68%
Draw 18%
Win 14%
✓ Over 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#4 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden IF Elfsborg over 1.5 goals 62%
IF Elfsborg
1 : 1 FT
IFK Goteborg
Win 71%
Draw 21%
Win 8%
BTTS No 59% IF Elfsborg Clean Sheet 55%
#5 Eliteserien Β· Norway Bodo/Glimt over 1.5 goals 61%
Bodo/Glimt
2 : 1 FT
Haugesund
βœ“ Win 69%
Draw 20%
Win 12%
BTTS No 55%
#6 Super League Β· China SHANGHAI SIPG over 1.5 goals 61%
Shenzhen Ruby FC
1 : 4 FT
SHANGHAI SIPG
Win 10%
Draw 21%
βœ“ Win 69%
BTTS No 57%
#7 Serie A Β· Brazil Fluminense over 1.5 goals 59%
Fluminense
0 : 0 FT
Flamengo
Win 56%
Draw 22%
Win 21%
Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 59%
#8 Super League Β· China Beijing Guoan over 1.5 goals 56%
Beijing Guoan
1 : 1 FT
Wuhan Three Towns
Win 43%
Draw 24%
Win 32%
Over 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS Yes 69%

Showing top 8 fixtures by team over 1.5 probability (a 55% or higher chance of one side scoring 2 or more). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Team Over 1.5 Goals β€” common questions

What does the Team Over 1.5 Goals market mean?

Team Over 1.5 Goals settles on whether a match sees the selected side score at least twice. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate team over 1.5 goals probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The team over 1.5 probability shown here is the probability that the selected side scores at least twice, summed across every scoreline in the model's matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Team Over 1.5 Goals on Sunday 16 July 2023?

eight fixtures met the criteria, led by Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Ham-Kam (Sarpsborg 08 FF over 1.5 goals) at 80% team over 1.5 probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 55% or higher chance of one side scoring 2 or more, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these team over 1.5 goals predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.