Team Over 1.5 Goals Predictions
Fixtures ranked by highest team over 1.5 probability β Saturday 6 May 2023
Team over 1.5 goals lands when the selected side scores at least twice, whatever the opposition does. Our prediction model sums every scoreline where that side reaches 2 goals, backing whichever team has the higher figure. Only selections at 55%+ probability are shown.
The model shortlists 15 fixtures on Saturday 6 May 2023. Manchester City vs Leeds (Manchester City over 1.5 goals) sits top on 87% in the Premier League. The shortlist runs from 87% down to 55%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.
The shortlist spans nine different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.
Of the 15 fixtures on this list that have since finished, nine landed the team over 1.5 goals market — 60%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.
Model output for information only β not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.
Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Premier League Β· England
Manchester City over 1.5 goals
87%
Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Adana Demirspor over 1.5 goals
80%
Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic
Zlin over 1.5 goals
79%
Pro League Β· United-Arab-Emirates
Al-Jazira over 1.5 goals
70%
Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
Utrecht over 1.5 goals
67%
Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium
Club Brugge KV over 1.5 goals
61%
Ligue 2 Β· France
Metz over 1.5 goals
60%
2. Bundesliga Β· Germany
Karlsruher SC over 1.5 goals
60%
Bundesliga Β· Germany
Bayern München over 1.5 goals
60%
Premier League Β· Russia
Dynamo over 1.5 goals
59%
Challenger Pro League Β· Belgium
Lommel United over 1.5 goals
58%
Thai League 1 Β· Thailand
Bangkok United over 1.5 goals
58%
2. Bundesliga Β· Germany
Fortuna Düsseldorf over 1.5 goals
57%
Premier League Β· England
Liverpool over 1.5 goals
56%
Bundesliga Β· Germany
Borussia Mönchengladbach over 1.5 goals
55%
Showing top 15 fixtures by team over 1.5 probability (a 55% or higher chance of one side scoring 2 or more). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.
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Team Over 1.5 Goals β common questions
What does the Team Over 1.5 Goals market mean?
Team Over 1.5 Goals settles on whether a match sees the selected side score at least twice. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.
How does Fixture360 calculate team over 1.5 goals probability?
Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The team over 1.5 probability shown here is the probability that the selected side scores at least twice, summed across every scoreline in the model's matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.
How many fixtures qualified for Team Over 1.5 Goals on Saturday 6 May 2023?
15 fixtures met the criteria, led by Manchester City vs Leeds (Manchester City over 1.5 goals) at 87% team over 1.5 probability.
Which fixtures appear on this page?
Fixtures with a 55% or higher chance of one side scoring 2 or more, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.
How accurate are these team over 1.5 goals predictions?
Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.
Are these predictions betting tips?
No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.