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Team Over 1.5 Goals Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest team over 1.5 probability β€” Sunday 17 October 2021

Team over 1.5 goals lands when the selected side scores at least twice, whatever the opposition does. Our prediction model sums every scoreline where that side reaches 2 goals, backing whichever team has the higher figure. Only selections at 55%+ probability are shown.

17 fixtures cleared the bar on Sunday 17 October 2021. The strongest reading belongs to Sturm Graz vs Ried (Sturm Graz over 1.5 goals) at 78% in the Bundesliga. The shortlist runs from 78% down to 56%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

Eliteserien supplies three of the top 10, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Of the 17 fixtures on this list that have since finished, nine landed the team over 1.5 goals market — 53%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Bundesliga Β· Austria Sturm Graz over 1.5 goals 78%
Sturm Graz
1 : 0 FT
Ried
βœ“ Win 71%
Draw 18%
Win 10%
Over 2.5 76% BTTS Yes 66%
#2 Eliteserien Β· Norway Bodo/Glimt over 1.5 goals 75%
Bodo/Glimt
2 : 1 FT
Sarpsborg 08 FF
βœ“ Win 76%
Draw 17%
Win 7%
✓ Over 2.5 67%
#3 Eliteserien Β· Norway Stromsgodset over 1.5 goals 67%
Stromsgodset
0 : 1 FT
Viking
Win 58%
Draw 23%
Win 19%
Over 2.5 71% BTTS Yes 68%
#4 Serie A Β· Italy Atalanta over 1.5 goals 65%
Empoli
1 : 4 FT
Atalanta
Win 20%
Draw 20%
βœ“ Win 60%
✓ Over 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
#5 Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic Sigma Olomouc over 1.5 goals 64%
Sigma Olomouc
2 : 0 FT
Karviná
βœ“ Win 64%
Draw 20%
Win 17%
Over 2.5 62% BTTS Yes 57%
#6 Eliteserien Β· Norway Rosenborg over 1.5 goals 63%
Rosenborg
2 : 2 FT
Valerenga
Win 61%
Draw 24%
Win 15%
✓ Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
#7 La Liga Β· Spain Rayo Vallecano over 1.5 goals 62%
Rayo Vallecano
2 : 1 FT
Elche
βœ“ Win 69%
Draw 21%
Win 10%
✓ Over 2.5 53% BTTS No 55%
#8 Challenger Pro League Β· Belgium Lommel United over 1.5 goals 62%
Lommel United
3 : 0 FT
Royal Excel Mouscron
βœ“ Win 47%
Draw 26%
Win 28%
✓ Over 2.5 72% BTTS Yes 73%
#9 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium AS Eupen over 1.5 goals 62%
Gent
2 : 0 FT
AS Eupen
Win 34%
Draw 21%
Win 45%
Over 2.5 74% BTTS Yes 73%
#10 Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic Sparta Praha over 1.5 goals 61%
Pardubice
2 : 4 FT
Sparta Praha
Win 29%
Draw 21%
βœ“ Win 50%
✓ Over 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS Yes 69%
#11 Thai League 1 Β· Thailand Buriram United over 1.5 goals 59%
Buriram United
2 : 0 FT
Nakhon Ratchasima FC
βœ“ Win 63%
Draw 21%
Win 16%
Over 2.5 54%
#12 Ligue 1 Β· France Lens over 1.5 goals 58%
Montpellier
1 : 0 FT
Lens
Win 28%
Draw 27%
Win 45%
Over 2.5 68% BTTS Yes 70%
#13 Serie A Β· Italy Sampdoria over 1.5 goals 58%
Cagliari
3 : 1 FT
Sampdoria
Win 23%
Draw 22%
Win 55%
✓ Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
#14 Serie A Β· Italy AS Roma over 1.5 goals 57%
Juventus
1 : 0 FT
AS Roma
Win 32%
Draw 22%
Win 46%
Over 2.5 68% BTTS Yes 68%
#15 Eliteserien Β· Norway Brann over 1.5 goals 57%
Brann
1 : 1 FT
Stabaek
Win 39%
Draw 25%
Win 36%
Over 2.5 73% ✓ BTTS Yes 74%
#16 Serie A Β· Italy Udinese over 1.5 goals 56%
Udinese
1 : 1 FT
Bologna
Win 50%
Draw 23%
Win 27%
Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
#17 Bundesliga Β· Austria TSV Hartberg over 1.5 goals 56%
WSG Wattens
2 : 2 FT
TSV Hartberg
Win 27%
Draw 28%
Win 45%
✓ Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 67%

Showing top 17 fixtures by team over 1.5 probability (a 55% or higher chance of one side scoring 2 or more). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Team Over 1.5 Goals β€” common questions

What does the Team Over 1.5 Goals market mean?

Team Over 1.5 Goals settles on whether a match sees the selected side score at least twice. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate team over 1.5 goals probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The team over 1.5 probability shown here is the probability that the selected side scores at least twice, summed across every scoreline in the model's matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Team Over 1.5 Goals on Sunday 17 October 2021?

17 fixtures met the criteria, led by Sturm Graz vs Ried (Sturm Graz over 1.5 goals) at 78% team over 1.5 probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 55% or higher chance of one side scoring 2 or more, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these team over 1.5 goals predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.