Osters IF 0-0 Landskrona BoIS – Result & Analysis
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Poisson rates Osters IF at 59% — the H2H record provides partial corroboration, though signals are mixed in this Osters IF vs Landskrona BoIS encounter.
✍️ Match Preview
Analysis
Landskrona BoIS make the trip to Visma Arena to face Osters IF in Superettan, Regular Season - 26. The match kicks off on Saturday 8 October 2022 at 14:00 UTC.
Current Form
Osters IF's overall Superettan record this term: 5W 3D 2L from 10 games (1.80 PPG). Last five: W L W L W. Offensively they are averaging 1.80 goals per game, with 1.00 conceded. 3 clean sheets from 10 outings provides some defensive foundation. Both teams have scored in 60% of their games — a high BTTS rate that carries real weight in the goals markets. This season is still relatively young for Osters IF, so this record blends games from this season and last.
In front of their own supporters this season, Osters IF have posted 7W 1D 2L at Visma Arena — 2.20 PPG. They are averaging 2.20 goals per home game — a prolific scoring rate in front of their own fans. Both teams have scored in 70% of their home games — an outstanding BTTS rate that is a key data point for this fixture.
Landskrona BoIS (all games): 4W 2D 4L across 10 Superettan outings this term — 1.40 points per game. Last five: W W L W W. Their scoring rate of 1.30 per game is modest, conceding 1.50 — not a side to back heavily on the Over 2.5 from their form alone. 1 clean sheet from 10 outings suggests some defensive organisation. Both teams have scored in 70% of their games — a noteworthy BTTS rate that supports the Yes market. This season is still relatively young for Landskrona BoIS, so this record blends games from this season and last.
Landskrona BoIS's form when playing away from home: 3W 3D 4L across 10 road games this term (1.20 PPG). Away from home they average 1.20 goals scored and 1.70 conceded per game. BTTS has landed in 60% of their away games — meaningful support for the Yes angle in this specific context.
Both sides are running at similar form levels — 1.80 PPG for Osters IF against 1.40 for Landskrona BoIS. There is no clear form edge to exploit here; other signals need to take the lead.
In terms of goals, both squads have been finding the net consistently (using home/away splits) — Osters IF have seen both teams score in 70% of their games, Landskrona BoIS in 60%. That combined rate is a strong statistical case for BTTS Yes as a standalone play.
H2H Analysis
The head-to-head record is closely matched — Osters IF lead 2W to 0W over the last 3 encounters, with 1 draws, though neither side has established a commanding advantage.
Attacking output has been a hallmark of this fixture. At 3.7 goals per game across 3 meetings, the Over 2.5 has a statistically grounded case from the head-to-head record alone. The most recent clash, on 4 Apr 2022, ended 3–1 with Osters IF winning.
With the win record balanced, the strongest H2H-derived signal is in the goals market. At 3.7 goals per game historically, Over 2.5 is the cleaner angle to extract from the head-to-head data.
Trading Data
Osters IF goal-timing and half-time pattern breakdown (55 games, 27 at home): they score before half-time in 67% of fixtures in home games; when goalless at HT, a second-half goal follows 71% of the time; two or more arrive in the second half on 52% of those occasions; BTTS occurs in 59% of their matches (home games); Over 2.5 goals lands in 44% of games (home games).
Landskrona BoIS goal-timing and half-time pattern breakdown (55 games, 27 at away): they score before half-time in 70% of fixtures in away games; when goalless at HT, a second-half goal follows 94% of the time; two or more arrive in the second half on 56% of those occasions; BTTS occurs in 52% of their matches (away games); Over 2.5 goals lands in 52% of games (away games).
BTTS rates are mixed from the trading data — Osters IF 54% versus Landskrona BoIS 62%; no strong lean in either direction. The over/under 2.5 picture is inconclusive from the in-play data (Osters IF 42% | Landskrona BoIS 51%).
Poisson Model
The Poisson distribution model projects Osters IF 1.96 xG and Landskrona BoIS 1.00 xG. These expected goals figures are the primary input: they feed a goal-probability matrix across all scoreline combinations to derive the result and market probabilities below. Underlying strength ratings: Osters IF attack 1.247 / defence 1.007 | Landskrona BoIS attack 0.778 / defence 1.067. League average goals — home 1.472 / away 1.279. Data: 55 Osters IF games / 55 Landskrona BoIS games used (CurrentSeason).
Result probabilities: Osters IF 59% | Draw 23% | Landskrona BoIS 18%. Fair-value odds: Osters IF 1.69 | Draw 4.35 | Landskrona BoIS 5.56. The model has a clear lean to Osters IF (59%) — a 41pp gap over the next-most-likely outcome reflects a meaningful statistical advantage.
Goals markets: Over 2.5 probability 57% | BTTS probability 55% | Total xG 2.96. Over 2.5 holds a meaningful probability edge at 57% — the 2.96 total xG provides moderate support, though the model is not projecting a high-scoring game. BTTS probability of 55% is moderate — neither team is projected to score with enough certainty to make Yes a clear standalone call.
Picks & Verdict
On the Poisson output, Osters IF are the pick at 59% — clear model lean. Draw No Bet is worth pricing alongside the outright: 23% draw probability makes the stalemate a live outcome even at this conviction level.
The Poisson model projects 2.96 xG in total — Over 2.5 at 57% — strong confidence, supported by form averaging 3.2 goals per game and H2H averaging 3.7 goals per meeting.
Poisson assigns a 55% probability to BTTS Yes based on the attack/defence strength model. Form rates corroborate: Osters IF 70% | Landskrona BoIS 60% BTTS from recent games.
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💡 Key Insights
🏟️ Match Context
• Fixture: Osters IF vs Landskrona BoIS | Competition: Superettan, Regular Season - 26 | Venue: Visma Arena • Kick-off: Saturday 8 Oct 2022, 14:00 UTC • Data inputs: H2H history, form splits, prediction model signals, and market pricing
📊 Statistical Prediction
• Poisson result probabilities: Osters IF 59% | Draw 23% | Landskrona BoIS 18% • Poisson goal markets: Over 2.5 57% | BTTS 55% | xG Osters IF 1.96 / Landskrona BoIS 1.00 • Poisson strength factors: Osters IF attack 1.247 / def 1.007 | Landskrona BoIS attack 0.778 / def 1.067 | league avg home 1.472 / away 1.279 • Poisson stance: Osters IF (59%) — strong lean
🧮 Prediction Model
1.96
Osters IF xG
Expected Goals
1.00
Landskrona BoIS xG
55%
BTTS
80%
Over 1.5
57%
Over 2.5
34%
Over 3.5
Full score-by-score matrix & model internals in the "Full Poisson Detail" section below ↓
⚠️ This analysis is generated algorithmically from statistical data and is intended for informational purposes only. It does not constitute betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What time does Osters IF vs Landskrona BoIS kick off?
Osters IF vs Landskrona BoIS kicked off at 14:00 on Saturday 8 October 2022 at Visma Arena.
What was the final score in Osters IF vs Landskrona BoIS?
Osters IF 0 - 0 Landskrona BoIS.
Where is Osters IF vs Landskrona BoIS being played?
The match is being played at Visma Arena.
What competition is Osters IF vs Landskrona BoIS part of?
Osters IF vs Landskrona BoIS is a Regular Season - 26 fixture in the Superettan (Sweden).
Who is favourite to win Osters IF vs Landskrona BoIS?
Our statistical model gives Osters IF a 59% chance of winning, Landskrona BoIS a 18% chance, and a 23% chance of a draw — making Osters IF the favourite.
Will both teams score in Osters IF vs Landskrona BoIS?
Our model estimates a 55% probability that both Osters IF and Landskrona BoIS will score (BTTS).
Will Osters IF vs Landskrona BoIS have over 2.5 goals?
Our model puts the probability of over 2.5 goals in this match at 57%.
What is the head-to-head record between Osters IF and Landskrona BoIS?
Record (3 meetings): Osters IF 2W | Draws 1 | Landskrona BoIS 0W.
What form are Osters IF and Landskrona BoIS in?
Osters IF (all comps): 5W-3D-2L in 10 | 1.80 PPG | GF 1.80 / GA 1.00 | L5 W-L-W-L-W. Landskrona BoIS (all comps): 4W-2D-4L in 10 | 1.40 PPG | GF 1.30 / GA 1.50 | L5 W-W-L-W-W.
🧮 Model Insight
Behind the Numbers
Working from Osters IF's attack rating (1.25) and Landskrona BoIS's defence rating (1.07), the model arrives at 1.96 expected goals for the home side. Flip it around — Landskrona BoIS's attack (0.78x) against Osters IF's defence (1.01x) — and the away total comes out at 1.00.
These ratings are built from 55/55 games of current-season data — a full enough sample to trust.
The Exact-Score Picture
Run the expected-goals figures through the full scoreline distribution and 1-1 emerges as the single most likely result, at 11.5%. Close behind: 2-1 (10.0%), 2-0 (9.9%). Those top three scorelines alone account for 31% of the model's total probability mass — a relatively concentrated, predictable distribution for this fixture.
Most Likely Outcome
Osters IF Win
59%
1.69
23%
4.41
18%
5.48
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 1
10.2%
Draw
Most likely
1 – 0
10.1%
Home win
2 – 1
10.0%
Home win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.96
Osters IF xG
Total xG
2.96
1.00
Landskrona BoIS xG
1.69
59%
Home win
4.41
23%
Draw
5.48
18%
Away win
Goals Markets
80%
Over 1.5
1.25
20%
Under 1.5
5.00
57%
Over 2.5
1.75
43%
Under 2.5
2.33
34%
Over 3.5
2.94
66%
Under 3.5
1.52
18%
Over 4.5
5.56
82%
Under 4.5
1.22
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
55%
BTTS Yes
1.82
45%
BTTS No
2.22
Clean Sheet
37%
2.72
14%
7.10
Win to Nil
22%
4.61
3%
38.92
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5.2 | 5.2 | 2.6 | 0.9 | 0.2 | – |
| 1 | 10.1 | 10.2 | 5.1 | 1.7 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 2 | 9.9 | 10.0 | 5.0 | 1.7 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 3 | 6.5 | 6.5 | 3.3 | 1.1 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 3.2 | 3.2 | 1.6 | 0.5 | 0.1 | – |
| 5 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.1 | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · Outlined cell = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What is the most likely scoreline for Osters IF vs Landskrona BoIS?
Our Poisson model rates 1-1 as the single most likely exact scoreline, at 11.5%.
How many goals are Osters IF and Landskrona BoIS expected to score?
The model projects 1.96 expected goals for Osters IF and 1.00 for Landskrona BoIS, a combined total of 2.96.
How confident is the prediction model for Osters IF vs Landskrona BoIS?
Reasonably confident — the model's leading outcome is rated at 59%, a clear lean rather than a toss-up.
📈 Form Insight
The Form Picture
Osters IF's recent record stands at 24W 17D 14L from 55 games, a 1.62 PPG return, with W-L-W-L-W in the last five. The sample for Osters IF is still a mix of this season and last, given how young the current campaign is.
Landskrona BoIS, meanwhile, have gone 22W 13D 20L across 55 games — 1.44 PPG, with W-W-L-W-W in their last five. The sample for Landskrona BoIS is still a mix of this season and last, given how young the current campaign is.
There isn't much between them on recent form — 1.62 PPG for Osters IF against 1.44 for Landskrona BoIS. Neither side arrives with a clear form advantage.
Home & Away Splits
At home specifically, Osters IF have managed 15W 7D 5L from 27 games — 1.93 PPG in front of their own supporters.
Landskrona BoIS's away record stands at 5W 6D 16L across 27 trips, a 0.78 PPG haul. That's a step down from their 1.44 PPG overall record — away form has been the weaker part of Landskrona BoIS's season.
Comparing the two in their relevant venue splits, Osters IF come out ahead — a more targeted read than the overall PPG figures above, since it strips out games played in the opposite context.
Scoring & Defensive Trends
Osters IF are averaging 1.38 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game recently; Landskrona BoIS are on 1.36 scored and 1.38 conceded.
On BTTS specifically: Landskrona BoIS in 62%.
Last 55 Results — Superettan
Current season: same league only · Previous season: all leagues (covers promoted/relegated teams)
Osters IF
Blended
Landskrona BoIS
Blended
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What form are Osters IF and Landskrona BoIS in coming into this match?
Osters IF have gone 24W 17D 14L in their last 55 games (1.62 PPG), while Landskrona BoIS have gone 22W 13D 20L in their last 55 (1.44 PPG).
Which team has the better venue record — Osters IF at home or Landskrona BoIS away?
Osters IF's home record (1.93 PPG) is the stronger of the two venue-specific splits — Osters IF at home: 1.93 PPG; Landskrona BoIS away: 0.78 PPG.
Have Osters IF or Landskrona BoIS been keeping clean sheets recently?
Osters IF have kept a clean sheet in 35% of their recent games, Landskrona BoIS in 18%.
⚔️ Rivalry Insight
History of the Fixture
On record, these two have faced off 9 times since April 2021 — enough meetings to establish some real patterns. Every recorded meeting has come in Superettan. They last met on 4 May 2026, roughly 3 months ago.
Records & Recent Trends
The last 2 meetings have all been drawn — an unusually settled recent run for this fixture.
For context on how one-sided this fixture can get: Osters IF won 1-4 on 2 Nov 2021, the biggest margin either side has managed in the series.
Specifically as hosts in this fixture, Osters IF have gone 2W 2D 0L from 4 meetings on their own ground against Landskrona BoIS — worth weighing alongside the overall series record.
Last 9 Meetings
4
Osters IF
5
Draws
0
Landskrona BoIS
Recent Meetings
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What is the head-to-head record between Osters IF and Landskrona BoIS?
From 9 meetings on record, Osters IF have won 4, Landskrona BoIS have won 0, and 5 have been drawn.
When did Osters IF and Landskrona BoIS last play each other?
They last met on 4 May 2026, when Landskrona BoIS 2-2 Osters IF.
Who has won more matches between Osters IF and Landskrona BoIS?
Osters IF have the better head-to-head record, with 4 wins from 9 meetings.
📈 Trading Insight
How These Sides Start
Osters IF are typically involved in an early goal — the half-time board shows at least one in 67% of their matches. They've gone in front at half-time 41% of the time.
Landskrona BoIS are typically involved in an early goal — the half-time board shows at least one in 70% of their matches.
Goals & Clean Sheets
BTTS sits in mixed territory for this pairing — Osters IF 59%, Landskrona BoIS 52% — no strong lean either way from the trading data alone.
Over 2.5 has been close to a coin-flip for both sides — 44% (Osters IF) and 52% (Landskrona BoIS).
On the defensive side: Osters IF keep a clean sheet in 37% of their matches; Landskrona BoIS in 37%.
Current season: same league only. Previous season: all leagues (covers promoted/relegated teams). All = any venue | Venue = Osters IF home games / Landskrona BoIS away games. HT metrics require half-time score data — shown as — where unavailable.
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
Do both teams usually score when Osters IF play Landskrona BoIS?
Yes — based on recent matches, both teams have scored in 59% of Osters IF's games and 52% of Landskrona BoIS's, a combined rate that favours BTTS Yes.
Is Osters IF vs Landskrona BoIS usually a high-scoring fixture?
Not particularly — Over 2.5 goals has come in for only 44% of Osters IF's recent games and 52% of Landskrona BoIS's, pointing to a tighter contest.
Do Osters IF and Landskrona BoIS tend to score early?
Osters IF have had a goal before half-time in 67% of their recent matches, Landskrona BoIS in 70% — a useful reference point for first-half goal markets.
Stalemate at Osters IF's ground as both sides cancel each other out in a goalless draw.
📝 Match Report
How It Unfolded
The points were shared at Visma Arena, Regular Season - 26, as Osters IF and Landskrona BoIS drew 0-0 in the Superettan. With the result on the board, the sections below measure it against everything the model and the numbers projected in advance.
The Model vs The Result
The Poisson model went into this projecting Osters IF 1.96 xG and Landskrona BoIS 1.00 xG, a combined 2.96. The scoreboard read 0-0 for 0 actual goals. Osters IF fell 2.0 short of their projected output. Landskrona BoIS landed 1.0 under their projected return. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Osters IF attack 1.25 / defence 1.01 against Landskrona BoIS attack 0.78 / defence 1.07, drawn from 55/55 games (CurrentSeason).
On the result, the model split it Osters IF 59% | Draw 23% | Landskrona BoIS 18%, with Osters IF to win its most likely call at 59%. Instead the game produced a draw, an outcome the model had rated at just 23% — a clear break from expectation and a genuine upset by the numbers.
Goals & Markets
The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 57%. The game delivered 0, so it stayed under — the opposite of the projected direction. Over 1.5 had been 80% and missed. On both teams to score, the model sat at 55% and the match did not — a miss on BTTS. Historically the two sides average 46% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (Osters IF 42%, Landskrona BoIS 51%), a base rate that agreed with today's under. Their combined BTTS history runs at 58%, which did not match the one-sided outcome.
Trading Patterns vs Reality
Osters IF's trading profile (55 games, 27 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 54% of their matches — today it did not; they keep a clean sheet 34% of the time, and duly kept one.
Landskrona BoIS's trading profile (55 games, 27 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 62% of their matches — today it did not.
Form vs Result
The form lines were close — Osters IF 1.62 PPG, Landskrona BoIS 1.44 PPG — offering no strong steer, and the draw fit that even billing. Osters IF (home/away splits) managed 0 against a 1.56 scoring average — below par going forward and conceded 0 against a 1.00 average — tighter than their form line. Landskrona BoIS (home/away splits) managed 0 against a 1.00 scoring average — below par going forward and conceded 0 against a 1.63 average — tighter than their form line.
Verdict
Grading the result against the stored data, 0 of 3 pre-match signals came in: result (miss), Over 2.5 (miss), BTTS (miss). The data was on the wrong side of this result more often than not — a reminder that a single match sits well inside the model's variance.
💡 Key Insights
⚠️ This match report is generated algorithmically from the final score, our prediction model, and each team's historical form and trading data. Analysis is for informational purposes only.