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Over 1.5 Goals Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted over 1.5 probability β€” Friday 12 December 2025

Over 1.5 goals is the safest goals market β€” you only need two goals in the match. Our prediction model calculates this as the probability of at least 2 total goals (i.e. anything other than a 0–0 or 1–0/0–1 scoreline). Only fixtures with 70%+ probability are shown, giving you the most reliable selections for accumulators.

20 fixtures cleared the bar on Friday 12 December 2025. Den Bosch vs VVV Venlo sits top on 88% in the Eerste Divisie. The shortlist runs from 88% down to 74%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

Eerste Divisie supplies seven of the top 10, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 15 landed the over 1.5 goals market — 75%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Den Bosch
0 : 1 FT
VVV Venlo
Win 53%
Draw 21%
Win 26%
Over 2.5 70% BTTS Yes 69%
#2 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Jong PSV U21
2 : 3 FT
Almere City FC
Win 55%
Draw 21%
Win 24%
✓ Over 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS Yes 68%
#3 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
MVV
2 : 1 FT
Jong Ajax
βœ“ Win 50%
Draw 22%
Win 28%
✓ Over 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS Yes 67%
#4 Thai League 1 Β· Thailand
Chonburi FC
1 : 1 FT
Kanchanaburi
Win 64%
Draw 24%
Win 13%
Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#5 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Emmen
4 : 1 FT
Helmond Sport
βœ“ Win 54%
Draw 23%
Win 23%
✓ Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
#6 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
FC OSS
3 : 4 FT
ADO Den Haag
Win 13%
Draw 19%
βœ“ Win 67%
✓ Over 2.5 59%
#7 Challenger Pro League Β· Belgium
Lommel United
2 : 0 FT
KAA Gent II
Win 35%
Draw 25%
Win 40%
Over 2.5 58% BTTS Yes 61%
#8 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Willem II
0 : 1 FT
Cambuur
Win 31%
Draw 25%
βœ“ Win 44%
Over 2.5 56% BTTS Yes 59%
#9 La Liga Β· Spain
Real Sociedad
1 : 2 FT
Girona
Win 54%
Draw 23%
Win 23%
✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#10 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
De Graafschap
2 : 3 FT
Roda
Win 49%
Draw 25%
Win 26%
✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
#11 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Jong AZ
1 : 4 FT
Jong Utrecht
Win 39%
Draw 26%
Win 35%
✓ Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
#12 Championship Β· England
West Brom
2 : 0 FT
Sheffield Utd
βœ“ Win 42%
Draw 26%
Win 32%
Over 2.5 55% BTTS Yes 58%
#13 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany
Dynamo Dresden
2 : 3 FT
Eintracht Braunschweig
Win 40%
Draw 25%
Win 35%
✓ Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
#14 Ligue 2 Β· France
PAU
1 : 2 FT
Amiens
Win 42%
Draw 25%
Win 33%
✓ Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#15 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
3 : 3 FT
Hertha BSC
Win 14%
Draw 20%
Win 66%
✓ Over 2.5 54%
#16 Serie B Β· Italy
Palermo
1 : 0 FT
Sampdoria
βœ“ Win 67%
Draw 22%
Win 11%
✓ BTTS No 54%
#17 Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Kasımpaşa
0 : 0 FT
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
Win 36%
Draw 35%
Win 30%
✓ Under 2.5 55% BTTS Yes 54%
#18 Bundesliga Β· Germany
Union Berlin
3 : 1 FT
RB Leipzig
Win 33%
Draw 28%
Win 39%
✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#19 Ligue 2 Β· France
Rodez
2 : 1 FT
Guingamp
βœ“ Win 37%
Draw 26%
Win 37%
✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#20 Serie A Β· Italy
Lecce
1 : 0 FT
Pisa
βœ“ Win 42%
Draw 28%
Win 30%
BTTS Yes 53%

Showing top 20 fixtures by over 1.5 goals probability (β‰₯ 70%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Over 1.5 Goals β€” common questions

What does the Over 1.5 Goals market mean?

Over 1.5 Goals settles on whether a match finishes with at least 2 total goals. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate over 1.5 goals probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The over 1.5 probability shown here is the probability of at least 2 total goals, summed across every scoreline in the model's matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Over 1.5 Goals on Friday 12 December 2025?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Den Bosch vs VVV Venlo at 88% over 1.5 probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 70% or higher over 1.5 probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these over 1.5 goals predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.