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Over 1.5 Goals Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted over 1.5 probability β€” Tuesday 28 October 2025

Over 1.5 goals is the safest goals market β€” you only need two goals in the match. Our prediction model calculates this as the probability of at least 2 total goals (i.e. anything other than a 0–0 or 1–0/0–1 scoreline). Only fixtures with 70%+ probability are shown, giving you the most reliable selections for accumulators.

15 fixtures cleared the bar on Tuesday 28 October 2025. Pescara vs Avellino sits top on 89% in the Serie B. The shortlist runs from 89% down to 73%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

Ligue 2 supplies five of the top 10, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Of the 15 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 13 landed the over 1.5 goals market — 87%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Serie B Β· Italy
Pescara
1 : 1 FT
Avellino
Win 48%
Draw 27%
Win 25%
Over 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS Yes 69%
#2 Super League Β· Switzerland
FC Thun
3 : 0 FT
FC Winterthur
βœ“ Win 61%
Draw 19%
Win 20%
✓ Over 2.5 68% BTTS Yes 63%
#3 Ligue 2 Β· France
Saint Etienne
6 : 0 FT
PAU
Win 31%
Draw 22%
Win 46%
✓ Over 2.5 67% BTTS Yes 67%
#4 League Two Β· England
Accrington ST
1 : 1 FT
Tranmere
Win 44%
Draw 23%
Win 33%
Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%
#5 Ligue 2 Β· France
Estac Troyes
3 : 1 FT
Amiens
βœ“ Win 60%
Draw 21%
Win 20%
✓ Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
#6 League One Β· England
Mansfield Town
2 : 0 FT
Plymouth
βœ“ Win 54%
Draw 22%
Win 24%
Over 2.5 62% BTTS Yes 61%
#7 Serie B Β· Italy
Empoli
1 : 1 FT
Sampdoria
Win 47%
Draw 31%
Win 22%
✓ BTTS Yes 58%
#8 Ligue 2 Β· France
Grenoble
0 : 0 FT
Guingamp
Win 37%
Draw 24%
Win 38%
Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 60%
#9 Ligue 2 Β· France
Dunkerque
3 : 0 FT
RED Star FC 93
Win 27%
Draw 24%
Win 49%
✓ Over 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 56%
#10 Ligue 2 Β· France
Boulogne
2 : 6 FT
Reims
Win 32%
Draw 25%
βœ“ Win 43%
✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#11 Serie B Β· Italy
Cesena
2 : 1 FT
Carrarese
Win 29%
Draw 34%
Win 37%
✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#12 Serie B Β· Italy
Reggiana
1 : 0 FT
Modena
Win 31%
Draw 34%
Win 34%
✓ Under 2.5 53% BTTS Yes 56%
#13 Serie B Β· Italy
Frosinone
4 : 0 FT
Virtus Entella
βœ“ Win 61%
Draw 28%
Win 11%
✓ BTTS No 53%
#14 Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic
Sparta Praha
2 : 1 FT
Bohemians 1905
βœ“ Win 43%
Draw 34%
Win 23%
Under 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#15 Ligue 2 Β· France
Laval
1 : 1 FT
Le Mans
Win 30%
Draw 26%
Win 44%

Showing top 15 fixtures by over 1.5 goals probability (β‰₯ 70%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Over 1.5 Goals β€” common questions

What does the Over 1.5 Goals market mean?

Over 1.5 Goals settles on whether a match finishes with at least 2 total goals. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate over 1.5 goals probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The over 1.5 probability shown here is the probability of at least 2 total goals, summed across every scoreline in the model's matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Over 1.5 Goals on Tuesday 28 October 2025?

15 fixtures met the criteria, led by Pescara vs Avellino at 89% over 1.5 probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 70% or higher over 1.5 probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these over 1.5 goals predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.