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Over 1.5 Goals Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted over 1.5 probability β€” Wednesday 12 July 2023

Over 1.5 goals is the safest goals market β€” you only need two goals in the match. Our prediction model calculates this as the probability of at least 2 total goals (i.e. anything other than a 0–0 or 1–0/0–1 scoreline). Only fixtures with 70%+ probability are shown, giving you the most reliable selections for accumulators.

Nine matches cleared our threshold on Wednesday 12 July 2023. The strongest reading belongs to Ulsan Hyundai FC vs Incheon United at 88% in the K League 1. The shortlist runs from 88% down to 70%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

K League 1 supplies four of the top 9, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Of the nine fixtures on this list that have since finished, nine landed the over 1.5 goals market — 100%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 K League 1 Β· South-Korea
Ulsan Hyundai FC
1 : 2 FT
Incheon United
Win 59%
Draw 22%
Win 19%
✓ Over 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS Yes 66%
#2 Super League Β· China
Changchun Yatai
2 : 2 FT
Hangzhou Greentown
Win 40%
Draw 24%
Win 36%
✓ Over 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS Yes 70%
#3 Super League Β· China
SHANGHAI SIPG
3 : 1 FT
Wuhan Three Towns
Win 26%
Draw 26%
Win 49%
✓ Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
#4 Super League Β· China
Meizhou Kejia
3 : 1 FT
Beijing Guoan
βœ“ Win 40%
Draw 27%
Win 33%
✓ Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
#5 K League 1 Β· South-Korea
FC Seoul
7 : 2 FT
Suwon City FC
βœ“ Win 60%
Draw 25%
Win 15%
✓ Over 2.5 53%
#6 Super League Β· China
Qingdao Jonoon
5 : 0 FT
Shenzhen Ruby FC
βœ“ Win 57%
Draw 26%
Win 17%
#7 Veikkausliiga Β· Finland
Inter Turku
0 : 2 FT
VPS
Win 59%
Draw 24%
Win 17%
✓ BTTS No 53%
#8 K League 1 Β· South-Korea
Suwon Bluewings
1 : 1 FT
Pohang Steelers
Win 21%
Draw 30%
Win 49%
✓ Under 2.5 57%
#9 K League 1 Β· South-Korea
Daejeon Citizen
2 : 2 FT
Jeonbuk Motors
Win 27%
Draw 32%
Win 41%
Under 2.5 58%

Showing top 9 fixtures by over 1.5 goals probability (β‰₯ 70%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Over 1.5 Goals β€” common questions

What does the Over 1.5 Goals market mean?

Over 1.5 Goals settles on whether a match finishes with at least 2 total goals. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate over 1.5 goals probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The over 1.5 probability shown here is the probability of at least 2 total goals, summed across every scoreline in the model's matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Over 1.5 Goals on Wednesday 12 July 2023?

nine fixtures met the criteria, led by Ulsan Hyundai FC vs Incheon United at 88% over 1.5 probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 70% or higher over 1.5 probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these over 1.5 goals predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.