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Over 1.5 Goals Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted over 1.5 probability β€” Saturday 15 July 2023

Over 1.5 goals is the safest goals market β€” you only need two goals in the match. Our prediction model calculates this as the probability of at least 2 total goals (i.e. anything other than a 0–0 or 1–0/0–1 scoreline). Only fixtures with 70%+ probability are shown, giving you the most reliable selections for accumulators.

Twelve matches cleared our threshold on Saturday 15 July 2023. The strongest reading belongs to BK Hacken vs IF Brommapojkarna at 91% in the Allsvenskan. The shortlist runs from 91% down to 71%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

The shortlist spans seven different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.

Of the twelve fixtures on this list that have since finished, eight landed the over 1.5 goals market — 67%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
BK Hacken
4 : 2 FT
IF Brommapojkarna
βœ“ Win 65%
Draw 20%
Win 16%
✓ Over 2.5 74% ✓ BTTS Yes 68%
#2 Superettan Β· Sweden
Jonkopings Sodra
1 : 0 FT
GIF Sundsvall
βœ“ Win 60%
Draw 20%
Win 20%
Over 2.5 68% BTTS Yes 64%
#3 Canadian Premier League Β· Canada
York United
0 : 0 FT
Pacific FC
Win 18%
Draw 20%
Win 62%
Over 2.5 66% BTTS Yes 61%
#4 Eliteserien Β· Norway
Valerenga
0 : 4 FT
Molde
Win 30%
Draw 23%
βœ“ Win 47%
✓ Over 2.5 65% BTTS Yes 65%
#5 Premier Division Β· Ireland
Sligo Rovers
3 : 0 FT
Cork City
βœ“ Win 54%
Draw 24%
Win 22%
#6 Veikkausliiga Β· Finland
Ilves
0 : 0 FT
Mariehamn
Win 43%
Draw 27%
Win 31%
BTTS Yes 54%
#7 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
Degerfors IF
0 : 3 FT
Sirius
Win 44%
Draw 30%
Win 26%
BTTS Yes 54%
#8 Canadian Premier League Β· Canada
Cavalry FC
1 : 0 FT
HFX Wanderers FC
βœ“ Win 47%
Draw 29%
Win 25%
#9 K League 1 Β· South-Korea
Gangwon FC
1 : 1 FT
FC Seoul
Win 25%
Draw 31%
Win 44%
✓ Under 2.5 55%
#10 K League 1 Β· South-Korea
Suwon Bluewings
3 : 1 FT
Ulsan Hyundai FC
Win 13%
Draw 27%
Win 60%
Under 2.5 56% BTTS No 56%
#11 Superettan Β· Sweden
Ostersunds FK
4 : 1 FT
Landskrona BoIS
βœ“ Win 46%
Draw 26%
Win 27%
Under 2.5 55%
#12 Veikkausliiga Β· Finland
VPS
3 : 0 FT
AC Oulu
Win 25%
Draw 29%
Win 47%
Under 2.5 57%

Showing top 12 fixtures by over 1.5 goals probability (β‰₯ 70%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Over 1.5 Goals β€” common questions

What does the Over 1.5 Goals market mean?

Over 1.5 Goals settles on whether a match finishes with at least 2 total goals. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate over 1.5 goals probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The over 1.5 probability shown here is the probability of at least 2 total goals, summed across every scoreline in the model's matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Over 1.5 Goals on Saturday 15 July 2023?

twelve fixtures met the criteria, led by BK Hacken vs IF Brommapojkarna at 91% over 1.5 probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 70% or higher over 1.5 probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these over 1.5 goals predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.