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Over 1.5 Goals Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted over 1.5 probability β€” Friday 22 April 2022

Over 1.5 goals is the safest goals market β€” you only need two goals in the match. Our prediction model calculates this as the probability of at least 2 total goals (i.e. anything other than a 0–0 or 1–0/0–1 scoreline). Only fixtures with 70%+ probability are shown, giving you the most reliable selections for accumulators.

The model shortlists 20 fixtures on Friday 22 April 2022. Rizespor vs Fenerbahçe led the list at 85% in the Süper Lig. The shortlist runs from 85% down to 70%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

Eerste Divisie supplies three of the top 10, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 17 landed the over 1.5 goals market — 85%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Rizespor
0 : 6 FT
Fenerbahçe
Win 21%
Draw 24%
βœ“ Win 55%
✓ Over 2.5 64% BTTS Yes 63%
#2 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Zaglebie Lubin
2 : 4 FT
Gornik Zabrze
Win 42%
Draw 23%
Win 35%
✓ Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%
#3 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany
Karlsruher SC
2 : 2 FT
FC Ingolstadt 04
Win 45%
Draw 29%
Win 26%
✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
#4 Bundesliga Β· Germany
VfL Wolfsburg
5 : 0 FT
FSV Mainz 05
βœ“ Win 52%
Draw 25%
Win 23%
✓ Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 59%
#5 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
FC OSS
2 : 3 FT
Almere City FC
Win 43%
Draw 24%
Win 33%
✓ Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
#6 Veikkausliiga Β· Finland
Lahti
0 : 1 FT
KuPS
Win 16%
Draw 20%
βœ“ Win 64%
Over 2.5 58%
#7 Premier Division Β· Ireland
Derry City
7 : 1 FT
UCD
βœ“ Win 64%
Draw 22%
Win 14%
✓ Over 2.5 56%
#8 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Excelsior
3 : 3 FT
Jong AZ
Win 60%
Draw 22%
Win 19%
✓ Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 55%
#9 Ligue 2 Β· France
PAU
0 : 1 FT
Sochaux
Win 28%
Draw 26%
βœ“ Win 46%
Over 2.5 55% BTTS Yes 58%
#10 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
NAC Breda
1 : 2 FT
Dordrecht
Win 70%
Draw 18%
Win 11%
✓ Over 2.5 57%
#11 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Telstar
0 : 1 FT
FC Eindhoven
Win 16%
Draw 21%
βœ“ Win 64%
Over 2.5 56%
#12 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Emmen
2 : 0 FT
Roda
βœ“ Win 49%
Draw 24%
Win 27%
Over 2.5 56% BTTS Yes 58%
#13 League Two Β· England
Newport County
1 : 2 FT
Colchester
Win 49%
Draw 24%
Win 27%
✓ Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#14 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Helmond Sport
0 : 4 FT
De Graafschap
Win 25%
Draw 25%
βœ“ Win 50%
BTTS Yes 54%
#15 Premier Division Β· Ireland
Bohemians
1 : 3 FT
Shamrock Rovers
Win 30%
Draw 29%
βœ“ Win 41%
Under 2.5 54%
#16 Pro League Β· United-Arab-Emirates
Al-Ittihad Kalba
2 : 2 FT
Al Nasr
Win 38%
Draw 26%
Win 36%
#17 Championship Β· England
Huddersfield
2 : 1 FT
Barnsley
βœ“ Win 60%
Draw 23%
Win 17%
Under 2.5 54% BTTS No 55%
#18 Veikkausliiga Β· Finland
Haka
2 : 1 FT
HIFK Helsinki
βœ“ Win 39%
Draw 27%
Win 34%
Under 2.5 54%
#19 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Den Bosch
1 : 2 FT
FC Volendam
Win 36%
Draw 27%
βœ“ Win 37%
Under 2.5 55%
#20 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany
Fortuna Düsseldorf
2 : 2 FT
Dynamo Dresden
Win 56%
Draw 30%
Win 14%
Under 2.5 59% BTTS No 56%

Showing top 20 fixtures by over 1.5 goals probability (β‰₯ 70%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Over 1.5 Goals β€” common questions

What does the Over 1.5 Goals market mean?

Over 1.5 Goals settles on whether a match finishes with at least 2 total goals. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate over 1.5 goals probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The over 1.5 probability shown here is the probability of at least 2 total goals, summed across every scoreline in the model's matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Over 1.5 Goals on Friday 22 April 2022?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Rizespor vs Fenerbahçe at 85% over 1.5 probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 70% or higher over 1.5 probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these over 1.5 goals predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.