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Over 1.5 Goals Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted over 1.5 probability β€” Wednesday 30 June 2021

Over 1.5 goals is the safest goals market β€” you only need two goals in the match. Our prediction model calculates this as the probability of at least 2 total goals (i.e. anything other than a 0–0 or 1–0/0–1 scoreline). Only fixtures with 70%+ probability are shown, giving you the most reliable selections for accumulators.

17 matches cleared our threshold on Wednesday 30 June 2021. Molde vs Stromsgodset led the list at 94% in the Eliteserien. The shortlist runs from 94% down to 70%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

Eliteserien supplies nine of the top 10, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Of the ten fixtures on this list that have since finished, seven landed the over 1.5 goals market — 70%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Eliteserien Β· Norway
Molde
3 : 0 FT
Stromsgodset
βœ“ Win 80%
Draw 12%
Win 8%
✓ Over 2.5 81% BTTS Yes 63%
#2 Eliteserien Β· Norway
Viking
– : – CANC
Stromsgodset
Win 75%
Draw 15%
Win 10%
Over 2.5 76% BTTS Yes 62%
#3 Eliteserien Β· Norway
Tromso
– : – CANC
Molde
Win 12%
Draw 19%
Win 69%
Over 2.5 68% BTTS Yes 59%
#4 Eliteserien Β· Norway
Viking
3 : 3 FT
Stabaek
Win 63%
Draw 21%
Win 16%
✓ Over 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
#5 Eliteserien Β· Norway
Rosenborg
0 : 0 FT
Haugesund
Win 58%
Draw 23%
Win 19%
Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 59%
#6 Eliteserien Β· Norway
Brann
1 : 1 FT
Lillestrom
Win 44%
Draw 28%
Win 28%
Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
#7 Eliteserien Β· Norway
Tromso
0 : 0 FT
Kristiansund BK
Win 29%
Draw 27%
Win 44%
Over 2.5 55% BTTS Yes 59%
#8 Eliteserien Β· Norway
Sandefjord
– : – CANC
Rosenborg
Win 37%
Draw 29%
Win 35%
BTTS Yes 57%
#9 Eliteserien Β· Norway
Sandefjord
1 : 0 FT
Bodo/Glimt
Win 26%
Draw 28%
Win 46%
BTTS Yes 54%
#10 Serie A Β· Brazil
Fortaleza EC
3 : 2 FT
Chapecoense-sc
βœ“ Win 53%
Draw 25%
Win 22%
#11 Eliteserien Β· Norway
Kristiansund BK
– : – CANC
Valerenga
Win 35%
Draw 30%
Win 35%
Under 2.5 55%
#12 Eliteserien Β· Norway
Stabaek
– : – CANC
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Win 28%
Draw 30%
Win 42%
Under 2.5 55%
#13 Eliteserien Β· Norway
ODD Ballklubb
– : – CANC
Bodo/Glimt
Win 44%
Draw 30%
Win 26%
Under 2.5 56%
#14 Eliteserien Β· Norway
Lillestrom
– : – CANC
Brann
Win 54%
Draw 28%
Win 18%
Under 2.5 56% BTTS No 53%
#15 Veikkausliiga Β· Finland
Kooteepee
1 : 1 FT
Ilves
Win 24%
Draw 26%
Win 51%
✓ Under 2.5 55%
#16 Veikkausliiga Β· Finland
Haka
1 : 1 FT
Honka
Win 27%
Draw 26%
Win 46%
✓ Under 2.5 55%
#17 Veikkausliiga Β· Finland
KuPS
2 : 0 FT
AC Oulu
βœ“ Win 44%
Draw 27%
Win 30%
✓ Under 2.5 55%

Showing top 17 fixtures by over 1.5 goals probability (β‰₯ 70%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Over 1.5 Goals β€” common questions

What does the Over 1.5 Goals market mean?

Over 1.5 Goals settles on whether a match finishes with at least 2 total goals. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate over 1.5 goals probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The over 1.5 probability shown here is the probability of at least 2 total goals, summed across every scoreline in the model's matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Over 1.5 Goals on Wednesday 30 June 2021?

17 fixtures met the criteria, led by Molde vs Stromsgodset at 94% over 1.5 probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 70% or higher over 1.5 probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these over 1.5 goals predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.