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Over 1.5 Goals Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted over 1.5 probability β€” Saturday 24 April 2021

Over 1.5 goals is the safest goals market β€” you only need two goals in the match. Our prediction model calculates this as the probability of at least 2 total goals (i.e. anything other than a 0–0 or 1–0/0–1 scoreline). Only fixtures with 70%+ probability are shown, giving you the most reliable selections for accumulators.

The model shortlists twelve fixtures on Saturday 24 April 2021. Inter Turku vs KuPS sits top on 96% in the Veikkausliiga. The shortlist runs from 96% down to 71%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Bundesliga supplies five of the top 10, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Of the ten fixtures on this list that have since finished, nine landed the over 1.5 goals market — 90%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Veikkausliiga Β· Finland
Inter Turku
1 : 0 FT
KuPS
βœ“ Win 52%
Draw 21%
Win 27%
Over 2.5 85% BTTS Yes 82%
#2 Bundesliga Β· Germany
Bayer Leverkusen
3 : 1 FT
Eintracht Frankfurt
βœ“ Win 42%
Draw 24%
Win 34%
✓ Over 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS Yes 69%
#3 Bundesliga Β· Germany
VfL Wolfsburg
0 : 2 FT
Borussia Dortmund
Win 47%
Draw 24%
Win 29%
Over 2.5 67% BTTS Yes 67%
#4 Eliteserien Β· Norway
Stabaek
– : – CANC
Brann
Win 45%
Draw 26%
Win 29%
Over 2.5 59% BTTS Yes 62%
#5 Eliteserien Β· Norway
Sarpsborg 08 FF
– : – CANC
Lillestrom
Win 56%
Draw 24%
Win 20%
Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 57%
#6 Bundesliga Β· Germany
SC Freiburg
1 : 1 FT
1899 Hoffenheim
Win 56%
Draw 24%
Win 20%
Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 55%
#7 Superettan Β· Sweden
Trelleborg
1 : 1 FT
Orgryte IS
Win 62%
Draw 22%
Win 16%
#8 Bundesliga Β· Germany
FSV Mainz 05
2 : 1 FT
Bayern München
Win 16%
Draw 25%
Win 59%
#9 Bundesliga Β· Germany
Union Berlin
3 : 1 FT
Werder Bremen
βœ“ Win 47%
Draw 28%
Win 25%
Under 2.5 54%
#10 Superettan Β· Sweden
GIF Sundsvall
2 : 0 FT
Norrby IF
βœ“ Win 51%
Draw 26%
Win 22%
✓ Under 2.5 54%
#11 Premier Division Β· Ireland
Dundalk
2 : 1 FT
Drogheda United
Win 17%
Draw 26%
Win 56%
Under 2.5 56% BTTS No 55%
#12 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
BK Hacken
1 : 2 FT
Sirius
Win 45%
Draw 28%
Win 27%
Under 2.5 56%

Showing top 12 fixtures by over 1.5 goals probability (β‰₯ 70%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Over 1.5 Goals β€” common questions

What does the Over 1.5 Goals market mean?

Over 1.5 Goals settles on whether a match finishes with at least 2 total goals. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate over 1.5 goals probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The over 1.5 probability shown here is the probability of at least 2 total goals, summed across every scoreline in the model's matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Over 1.5 Goals on Saturday 24 April 2021?

twelve fixtures met the criteria, led by Inter Turku vs KuPS at 96% over 1.5 probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 70% or higher over 1.5 probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these over 1.5 goals predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.