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Low Scoring Predictions

Fixtures ranked by lowest predicted expected total goals — Friday 27 September 2024

Our prediction model identifies fixtures where both teams have historically weak attack or strong defence. Fixtures at the top of this list have the lowest combined expected goals (xG) — making them the best candidates for Under 2.5 goals and low-scoring correct score markets.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 La Liga · Spain
Valladolid
1 : 2 FT
Mallorca
Win 26%
Draw 40%
Win 34%
Under 2.5 79% BTTS No 68%
#2 Premier League · Russia
Fakel
0 : 0 FT
Rubin
Win 28%
✓ Draw 38%
Win 34%
✓ Under 2.5 75% ✓ BTTS No 65%
#3 K League 1 · South-Korea
Daejeon Citizen
0 : 1 FT
Ulsan Hyundai FC
Win 42%
Draw 32%
Win 26%
✓ Under 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS No 64%
#4 Ligue 2 · France
Amiens
2 : 1 FT
Rodez
✓ Win 41%
Draw 32%
Win 28%
Under 2.5 71% BTTS No 63%
#5 Championship · England
Plymouth
3 : 1 FT
Luton
✓ Win 45%
Draw 30%
Win 25%
Under 2.5 69% BTTS No 63%
#6 Premier Division · Ireland
Dundalk
0 : 2 FT
Bohemians
Win 28%
Draw 33%
✓ Win 39%
✓ Under 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS No 60%
#7 Premier Division · Ireland
Waterford
1 : 2 FT
Galway United
Win 40%
Draw 32%
Win 28%
Under 2.5 68% BTTS No 60%
#8 League Two · England
Tranmere
0 : 0 FT
Salford City
Win 44%
Draw 30%
Win 26%
✓ Under 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS No 61%
#9 Premier Division · Ireland
Drogheda United
2 : 1 FT
Derry City
✓ Win 44%
Draw 31%
Win 24%
Under 2.5 67% BTTS No 60%
#10 Ligue 2 · France
Lorient
3 : 0 FT
Ajaccio
✓ Win 52%
Draw 28%
Win 20%
Under 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS No 61%
#11 Ligue 2 · France
Bastia
2 : 2 FT
Annecy
Win 33%
Draw 29%
Win 37%
Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 56%
#12 Ligue 2 · France
Grenoble
3 : 0 FT
Clermont Foot
✓ Win 52%
Draw 27%
Win 21%
Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 58%
#13 Serie B · Italy
Cittadella
1 : 2 FT
Frosinone
Win 55%
Draw 28%
Win 17%
Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 59%
#14 Premier Division · Ireland
Shamrock Rovers
0 : 3 FT
St Patrick's Athl.
Win 51%
Draw 29%
Win 20%
Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 57%
#15 Ekstraklasa · Poland
Lechia Gdansk
1 : 1 FT
Widzew Łódź
Win 28%
Draw 28%
Win 44%
✓ Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 55%
#16 Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Al-Qadisiyah FC
1 : 0 FT
Al-Ahli Jeddah
Win 34%
Draw 28%
Win 37%
✓ Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 53%
#17 Ekstraklasa · Poland
GKS Katowice
3 : 1 FT
Pogon Szczecin
✓ Win 40%
Draw 28%
Win 32%
Under 2.5 58%
#18 2. Bundesliga · Germany
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
1 : 2 FT
Fortuna Düsseldorf
Win 26%
Draw 32%
✓ Win 42%
Under 2.5 58%
#19 Süper Lig · Turkey
Sivasspor
1 : 2 FT
Başakşehir
Win 39%
Draw 31%
Win 30%
Under 2.5 57%
#20 Thai League 1 · Thailand
Bangkok United
0 : 0 FT
Ratchaburi
Win 53%
Draw 32%
Win 15%
✓ Under 2.5 57%

Showing top 20 fixtures by lowest combined expected goals. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.