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Low Scoring Predictions

Fixtures ranked by lowest predicted expected total goals — Saturday 28 September 2024

Our prediction model identifies fixtures where both teams have historically weak attack or strong defence. Fixtures at the top of this list have the lowest combined expected goals (xG) — making them the best candidates for Under 2.5 goals and low-scoring correct score markets.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Superettan · Sweden
Skövde AIK
0 : 2 FT
GIF Sundsvall
Win 37%
Draw 34%
Win 29%
✓ Under 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS No 61%
#2 Championship · England
Derby
2 : 3 FT
Norwich
Win 47%
Draw 30%
Win 23%
Under 2.5 70% BTTS No 64%
#3 League One · England
Stevenage
1 : 0 FT
Charlton
✓ Win 43%
Draw 32%
Win 25%
✓ Under 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS No 62%
#4 Ekstraklasa · Poland
Motor Lublin
2 : 1 FT
Slask Wroclaw
Win 28%
Draw 31%
Win 41%
Under 2.5 69% BTTS No 62%
#5 Süper Lig · Turkey
Samsunspor
4 : 3 FT
Göztepe
✓ Win 43%
Draw 34%
Win 24%
Under 2.5 69% BTTS No 61%
#6 Premier League · Ukraine
Kryvbas KR
0 : 1 FT
Oleksandria
Win 32%
Draw 32%
✓ Win 36%
✓ Under 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS No 61%
#7 Czech Liga · Czech-Republic
Slovácko
2 : 1 FT
Karviná
✓ Win 43%
Draw 31%
Win 26%
Under 2.5 69% BTTS No 62%
#8 League One · England
Wigan
0 : 0 FT
Exeter City
Win 35%
Draw 32%
Win 33%
✓ Under 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS No 60%
#9 Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
Genk
2 : 1 FT
KV Mechelen
✓ Win 50%
Draw 32%
Win 18%
Under 2.5 66% BTTS No 61%
#10 Primeira Liga · Portugal
Casa Pia
1 : 1 FT
Guimaraes
Win 26%
Draw 30%
Win 44%
✓ Under 2.5 66% BTTS No 60%
#11 Czech Liga · Czech-Republic
FK Jablonec
2 : 0 FT
Hradec Králové
✓ Win 47%
Draw 29%
Win 24%
✓ Under 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS No 60%
#12 Ekstraklasa · Poland
Raków Częstochowa
2 : 0 FT
Puszcza Niepołomice
✓ Win 52%
Draw 28%
Win 19%
✓ Under 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS No 62%
#13 League Two · England
Port Vale
2 : 1 FT
Swindon Town
Win 33%
Draw 30%
Win 37%
Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 58%
#14 Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
Standard Liege
1 : 2 FT
KVC Westerlo
Win 43%
Draw 33%
Win 24%
Under 2.5 64% BTTS No 56%
#15 Championship · England
Middlesbrough
2 : 0 FT
Stoke City
✓ Win 45%
Draw 29%
Win 26%
✓ Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 58%
#16 Super League 1 · Greece
Volos NFC
1 : 1 FT
Kallithea
Win 30%
✓ Draw 37%
Win 33%
✓ Under 2.5 62%
#17 Serie B · Italy
Carrarese
0 : 0 FT
Reggiana
Win 27%
Draw 31%
Win 42%
✓ Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 54%
#18 Premier League · Russia
FC Krasnodar
2 : 0 FT
Zenit
Win 23%
Draw 32%
Win 45%
✓ Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 54%
#19 La Liga · Spain
Rayo Vallecano
1 : 1 FT
Leganes
Win 53%
Draw 30%
Win 16%
✓ Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 57%
#20 Championship · England
Hull City
4 : 1 FT
Cardiff
✓ Win 46%
Draw 28%
Win 26%
Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 56%

Showing top 20 fixtures by lowest combined expected goals. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.