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Home Banker Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted home win probability β€” Sunday 5 April 2026

Our prediction model uses each team's attack and defence strengths to calculate the probability of every match outcome. Fixtures listed here have a home win probability of 55% or higher β€” making them strong candidates for accumulator bankers. The model accounts for home advantage inherent in the league scoring averages.

13 matches cleared our threshold on Sunday 5 April 2026. The strongest reading belongs to Gremio vs Remo at 73% in the Serie A. The shortlist runs from 73% down to 56%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Serie A supplies three of the top 10, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Of the 13 fixtures on this list that have since finished, ten landed the home win market — 77%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Serie A Β· Brazil
Gremio
0 : 0 FT
Remo
Win 73%
Draw 17%
Win 10%
Over 2.5 60%
#2 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
Heerenveen
4 : 1 FT
Heracles
βœ“ Win 73%
Draw 17%
Win 10%
✓ Over 2.5 73% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
#3 Serie B Β· Italy
Palermo
2 : 0 FT
Avellino
βœ“ Win 68%
Draw 21%
Win 11%
Over 2.5 57%
#4 Premier League Β· Ukraine
Shakhtar Donetsk
3 : 0 FT
Ruh Lviv
βœ“ Win 66%
Draw 23%
Win 11%
Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 65% ✓ Shakhtar Donetsk Clean Sheet 58%
#5 Serie A Β· Brazil
Flamengo
3 : 1 FT
Santos
βœ“ Win 62%
Draw 23%
Win 16%
#6 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
GO Ahead Eagles
5 : 0 FT
PEC Zwolle
βœ“ Win 61%
Draw 19%
Win 19%
✓ Over 2.5 78% BTTS Yes 73%
#7 Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic
Sparta Praha
2 : 0 FT
Karviná
βœ“ Win 61%
Draw 19%
Win 20%
Over 2.5 80% BTTS Yes 75%
#8 Serie A Β· Brazil
Atletico-MG
2 : 1 FT
Atletico Paranaense
βœ“ Win 61%
Draw 22%
Win 17%
✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 53%
#9 Bundesliga Β· Germany
Eintracht Frankfurt
2 : 2 FT
1. FC Köln
Win 60%
Draw 23%
Win 18%
✓ Over 2.5 53%
#10 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany
FC Schalke 04
1 : 0 FT
Karlsruher SC
βœ“ Win 59%
Draw 21%
Win 20%
Over 2.5 68% BTTS Yes 64%
#11 Serie B Β· Italy
Frosinone
2 : 0 FT
Padova
βœ“ Win 59%
Draw 24%
Win 17%
Over 2.5 53%
#12 Super League Β· China
Hangzhou Greentown
0 : 1 FT
Chongqing Tongliang Long
Win 59%
Draw 24%
Win 17%
✓ Under 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS No 56%
#13 Serie A Β· Italy
Inter
5 : 2 FT
AS Roma
βœ“ Win 56%
Draw 23%
Win 21%
✓ Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%

Showing top 13 fixtures by home win probability (β‰₯ 55%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Related markets

Home Banker β€” common questions

What does the Home Banker market mean?

Home Banker settles on whether a match is won by the home side. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate home win probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The home win probability shown here is the sum of every scoreline where the home side finishes ahead. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Home Banker on Sunday 5 April 2026?

13 fixtures met the criteria, led by Gremio vs Remo at 73% home win probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 55% or higher home win probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these home win predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.