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Home Banker Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted home win probability β€” Saturday 1 November 2025

Our prediction model uses each team's attack and defence strengths to calculate the probability of every match outcome. Fixtures listed here have a home win probability of 55% or higher β€” making them strong candidates for accumulator bankers. The model accounts for home advantage inherent in the league scoring averages.

The model shortlists 20 fixtures on Saturday 1 November 2025. Bayern München vs Bayer Leverkusen sits top on 76% in the Bundesliga. The shortlist runs from 76% down to 56%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

The shortlist spans eight different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 14 landed the home win market — 70%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Bundesliga Β· Germany
Bayern München
3 : 0 FT
Bayer Leverkusen
βœ“ Win 76%
Draw 13%
Win 11%
✓ Over 2.5 85% BTTS Yes 72%
#2 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
Feyenoord
3 : 1 FT
FC Volendam
βœ“ Win 69%
Draw 18%
Win 13%
✓ Over 2.5 61%
#3 La Liga Β· Spain
Real Madrid
4 : 0 FT
Valencia
βœ“ Win 69%
Draw 19%
Win 12%
✓ Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS No 53%
#4 Super League Β· China
Shandong Luneng
2 : 1 FT
Tianjin Teda
βœ“ Win 69%
Draw 19%
Win 12%
✓ Over 2.5 60%
#5 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Roda
1 : 1 FT
Jong Utrecht
Win 69%
Draw 19%
Win 13%
Over 2.5 58%
#6 Premier League Β· England
Brighton
3 : 0 FT
Leeds
βœ“ Win 67%
Draw 18%
Win 14%
✓ Over 2.5 63% BTTS Yes 55%
#7 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium
Club Brugge KV
2 : 1 FT
Dender
βœ“ Win 67%
Draw 20%
Win 12%
✓ Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#8 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al-Nassr
2 : 1 FT
Al-Fayha
βœ“ Win 67%
Draw 18%
Win 15%
✓ Over 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
#9 Premier League Β· Ukraine
Kryvbas KR
2 : 2 FT
SK Poltava
Win 66%
Draw 22%
Win 12%
BTTS No 56%
#10 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Cambuur
4 : 1 FT
Jong Ajax
βœ“ Win 66%
Draw 18%
Win 17%
✓ Over 2.5 72% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%
#11 Thai League 1 Β· Thailand
Buriram United
2 : 1 FT
Nakhon Ratchasima FC
βœ“ Win 66%
Draw 22%
Win 13%
✓ Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#12 Serie A Β· Brazil
Cruzeiro
3 : 1 FT
Vitoria
βœ“ Win 64%
Draw 21%
Win 15%
#13 Ligue 1 Β· France
Monaco
0 : 1 FT
Paris FC
Win 62%
Draw 19%
Win 18%
Over 2.5 66% BTTS Yes 61%
#14 Challenger Pro League Β· Belgium
RWDM
1 : 1 FT
KRC Genk II
Win 62%
Draw 22%
Win 16%
Over 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
#15 Super League 1 Β· Greece
Olympiakos Piraeus
2 : 1 FT
Aris Thessalonikis
βœ“ Win 61%
Draw 24%
Win 16%
#16 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany
SV Darmstadt 98
2 : 2 FT
Arminia Bielefeld
Win 60%
Draw 22%
Win 19%
✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#17 Ligue 1 Β· France
Paris Saint Germain
1 : 0 FT
Nice
βœ“ Win 59%
Draw 20%
Win 21%
Over 2.5 69% BTTS Yes 65%
#18 Premier Division Β· Ireland
Shamrock Rovers
1 : 2 FT
Sligo Rovers
Win 58%
Draw 25%
Win 17%
Under 2.5 55% BTTS No 54%
#19 Superettan Β· Sweden
Ostersunds FK
2 : 0 FT
Trelleborg
βœ“ Win 58%
Draw 21%
Win 22%
Over 2.5 68% BTTS Yes 65%
#20 Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Göztepe
1 : 0 FT
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
βœ“ Win 56%
Draw 30%
Win 14%
✓ Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 58%

Showing top 20 fixtures by home win probability (β‰₯ 55%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Related markets

Home Banker β€” common questions

What does the Home Banker market mean?

Home Banker settles on whether a match is won by the home side. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate home win probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The home win probability shown here is the sum of every scoreline where the home side finishes ahead. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Home Banker on Saturday 1 November 2025?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Bayern München vs Bayer Leverkusen at 76% home win probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 55% or higher home win probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these home win predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.