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Goal Fest Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted expected total goals — Friday 7 November 2025

Our prediction model calculates the expected number of goals each team is likely to score based on historical attack and defence strengths. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest combined expected goals (xG) — making them the best candidates for Over 2.5 and Both Teams to Score markets.

The model shortlists 20 fixtures on Friday 7 November 2025. Paris FC vs Rennes sits top on 3.96 in the Ligue 1. The shortlist runs from 3.96 down to 2.82, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Eerste Divisie supplies four of the top 10, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, eleven landed the goal fest market — 55%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Ligue 1 · France
Paris FC
0 : 1 FT
Rennes
Win 41%
Draw 21%
Win 38%
Over 2.5 76% BTTS Yes 74%
#2 Serie A · Brazil
Palmeiras
2 : 0 FT
Santos
✓ Win 78%
Draw 14%
Win 9%
Over 2.5 69%
#3 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
ADO Den Haag
4 : 0 FT
Roda
✓ Win 61%
Draw 19%
Win 20%
✓ Over 2.5 69% BTTS Yes 64%
#4 Challenger Pro League · Belgium
Liège
0 : 2 FT
KAA Gent II
Win 49%
Draw 26%
Win 25%
Over 2.5 67% BTTS Yes 69%
#5 2. Bundesliga · Germany
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
1 : 0 FT
Preußen Münster
Win 37%
Draw 23%
Win 40%
Over 2.5 67% BTTS Yes 68%
#6 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Almere City FC
4 : 0 FT
MVV
✓ Win 53%
Draw 22%
Win 25%
✓ Over 2.5 64% BTTS Yes 63%
#7 2. Bundesliga · Germany
Dynamo Dresden
1 : 2 FT
1. FC Nürnberg
Win 29%
Draw 23%
✓ Win 47%
✓ Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%
#8 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Jong AZ
0 : 2 FT
VVV Venlo
Win 43%
Draw 23%
Win 34%
Over 2.5 64% BTTS Yes 65%
#9 Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Al Najma
2 : 4 FT
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
Win 10%
Draw 18%
✓ Win 71%
✓ Over 2.5 61%
#10 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Vitesse
0 : 4 FT
Cambuur
Win 39%
Draw 24%
Win 38%
✓ Over 2.5 60% BTTS Yes 62%
#11 Thai League 1 · Thailand
Prachuap
1 : 1 FT
Lamphun Warrior
Win 67%
Draw 22%
Win 12%
Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#12 Ekstraklasa · Poland
Radomiak Radom
3 : 0 FT
Cracovia Krakow
✓ Win 47%
Draw 26%
Win 26%
✓ Over 2.5 59% BTTS Yes 62%
#13 Ligue 2 · France
Bastia
1 : 3 FT
Reims
Win 36%
Draw 24%
✓ Win 40%
✓ Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
#14 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
FC Eindhoven
1 : 3 FT
Den Bosch
Win 37%
Draw 24%
✓ Win 39%
✓ Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
#15 Challenger Pro League · Belgium
Lommel United
2 : 2 FT
SK Beveren
Win 15%
Draw 26%
Win 59%
✓ Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#16 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Jong Ajax
0 : 0 FT
Dordrecht
Win 35%
Draw 24%
Win 41%
Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 60%
#17 Ekstraklasa · Poland
Zaglebie Lubin
2 : 0 FT
Gornik Zabrze
✓ Win 40%
Draw 28%
Win 32%
Over 2.5 55% BTTS Yes 60%
#18 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Jong Utrecht
1 : 2 FT
Emmen
Win 55%
Draw 23%
Win 22%
✓ Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 55%
#19 Championship · England
Watford
1 : 1 FT
Bristol City
Win 52%
Draw 24%
Win 24%
Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 55%
#20 Primeira Liga · Portugal
Estoril
4 : 3 FT
Arouca
✓ Win 55%
Draw 25%
Win 20%
✓ Over 2.5 53% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%

Showing top 20 fixtures by combined expected goals. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Goal Fest — common questions

What does the Goal Fest market mean?

Goal Fest settles on whether a match is expected to produce a high combined goal count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate goal fest probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The combined expected goals shown here is the sum of both teams' expected goals, derived from their attack and defence strengths. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Goal Fest on Friday 7 November 2025?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Paris FC vs Rennes at 3.96 combined expected goals.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest combined expected goals of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these goal fest predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.