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Goal Fest Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted expected total goals β€” Sunday 22 June 2025

Our prediction model calculates the expected number of goals each team is likely to score based on historical attack and defence strengths. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest combined expected goals (xG) β€” making them the best candidates for Over 2.5 and Both Teams to Score markets.

15 matches cleared our threshold on Sunday 22 June 2025. KFUM Oslo vs Stromsgodset led the list at 3.54 in the Eliteserien. The shortlist runs from 3.54 down to 2.56, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

Eliteserien supplies five of the top 10, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Of the 15 fixtures on this list that have since finished, ten landed the goal fest market — 67%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Eliteserien Β· Norway
KFUM Oslo
5 : 0 FT
Stromsgodset
Win 25%
Draw 21%
Win 54%
✓ Over 2.5 69% BTTS Yes 67%
#2 Eliteserien Β· Norway
Viking
3 : 0 FT
Fredrikstad
βœ“ Win 61%
Draw 19%
Win 20%
✓ Over 2.5 68% BTTS Yes 64%
#3 Primera División Β· Chile
D. La Serena
1 : 1 FT
Deportes Limache
Win 54%
Draw 21%
Win 25%
Over 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS Yes 65%
#4 Superettan Β· Sweden
Landskrona BoIS
1 : 0 FT
Orebro SK
βœ“ Win 45%
Draw 22%
Win 32%
Over 2.5 67% BTTS Yes 67%
#5 Superettan Β· Sweden
Oddevold
2 : 1 FT
Varbergs BoIS FC
Win 23%
Draw 21%
Win 56%
✓ Over 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
#6 Eliteserien Β· Norway
Ham-Kam
1 : 3 FT
Tromso
Win 35%
Draw 23%
βœ“ Win 42%
✓ Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 65%
#7 Eliteserien Β· Norway
Sandefjord
4 : 0 FT
Haugesund
βœ“ Win 70%
Draw 17%
Win 13%
✓ Over 2.5 64% BTTS Yes 54%
#8 Superettan Β· Sweden
Kalmar FF
2 : 3 FT
Orgryte IS
Win 57%
Draw 21%
Win 22%
✓ Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
#9 Eliteserien Β· Norway
Sarpsborg 08 FF
1 : 1 FT
Bryne
Win 56%
Draw 22%
Win 22%
Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
#10 Primera División Β· Chile
A. Italiano
2 : 1 FT
Colo Colo
βœ“ Win 48%
Draw 24%
Win 28%
✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
#11 Canadian Premier League Β· Canada
York United
0 : 0 FT
Atlético Ottawa
Win 40%
Draw 26%
Win 33%
Over 2.5 56% BTTS Yes 60%
#12 Eliteserien Β· Norway
Valerenga
2 : 3 FT
Molde
Win 20%
Draw 22%
βœ“ Win 58%
✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#13 Superettan Β· Sweden
Utsikten
1 : 0 FT
Ostersunds FK
βœ“ Win 44%
Draw 25%
Win 31%
BTTS Yes 56%
#14 Superettan Β· Sweden
Vasteras SK FK
2 : 2 FT
IK brage
Win 33%
Draw 26%
Win 41%
✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#15 K League 1 Β· South-Korea
Gwangju FC
2 : 2 FT
Daejeon Citizen
Win 28%
Draw 29%
Win 43%

Showing top 15 fixtures by combined expected goals. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Goal Fest β€” common questions

What does the Goal Fest market mean?

Goal Fest settles on whether a match is expected to produce a high combined goal count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate goal fest probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The combined expected goals shown here is the sum of both teams' expected goals, derived from their attack and defence strengths. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Goal Fest on Sunday 22 June 2025?

15 fixtures met the criteria, led by KFUM Oslo vs Stromsgodset at 3.54 combined expected goals.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest combined expected goals of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these goal fest predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.