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Goal Fest Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted expected total goals β€” Sunday 31 October 2021

Our prediction model calculates the expected number of goals each team is likely to score based on historical attack and defence strengths. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest combined expected goals (xG) β€” making them the best candidates for Over 2.5 and Both Teams to Score markets.

The model shortlists 20 fixtures on Sunday 31 October 2021. Baník Ostrava vs Sparta Praha sits top on 4.18 in the Czech Liga. The shortlist runs from 4.18 down to 3.17, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

The shortlist spans seven different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, twelve landed the goal fest market — 60%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic
Baník Ostrava
2 : 2 FT
Sparta Praha
Win 40%
Draw 20%
Win 40%
✓ Over 2.5 79% ✓ BTTS Yes 77%
#2 Eliteserien Β· Norway
Viking
1 : 2 FT
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Win 66%
Draw 19%
Win 15%
✓ Over 2.5 78% ✓ BTTS Yes 70%
#3 Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic
Mlada Boleslav
3 : 2 FT
Hradec Králové
βœ“ Win 55%
Draw 19%
Win 26%
✓ Over 2.5 76% ✓ BTTS Yes 73%
#4 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium
Zulte Waregem
2 : 6 FT
Genk
Win 40%
Draw 21%
Win 38%
✓ Over 2.5 73% ✓ BTTS Yes 72%
#5 Eliteserien Β· Norway
ODD Ballklubb
2 : 2 FT
Mjondalen
Win 66%
Draw 20%
Win 14%
✓ Over 2.5 72% ✓ BTTS Yes 65%
#6 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium
Anderlecht
2 : 2 FT
OH Leuven
Win 64%
Draw 18%
Win 18%
✓ Over 2.5 72% ✓ BTTS Yes 66%
#7 Canadian Premier League Β· Canada
Pacific FC
1 : 2 FT
York United
Win 58%
Draw 23%
Win 20%
✓ Over 2.5 72% ✓ BTTS Yes 69%
#8 Premier League Β· Ukraine
FC Kharkiv
1 : 6 FT
Zorya Luhansk
Win 42%
Draw 24%
Win 34%
✓ Over 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS Yes 70%
#9 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
Utrecht
5 : 1 FT
Willem II
βœ“ Win 55%
Draw 21%
Win 24%
✓ Over 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS Yes 66%
#10 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Górnik Łęczna
0 : 0 FT
Raków Częstochowa
Win 15%
Draw 19%
Win 66%
Over 2.5 68% BTTS Yes 61%
#11 Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Alanyaspor
2 : 2 FT
Göztepe
Win 49%
Draw 22%
Win 30%
✓ Over 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS Yes 67%
#12 Eliteserien Β· Norway
Bodo/Glimt
1 : 0 FT
Sandefjord
βœ“ Win 69%
Draw 20%
Win 11%
Over 2.5 68% BTTS Yes 59%
#13 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium
Gent
0 : 2 FT
Union St. Gilloise
Win 44%
Draw 22%
Win 34%
Over 2.5 67% BTTS Yes 67%
#14 Serie A Β· Italy
Fiorentina
3 : 0 FT
Spezia
βœ“ Win 62%
Draw 19%
Win 19%
✓ Over 2.5 67% BTTS Yes 62%
#15 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany
Karlsruher SC
2 : 4 FT
SC Paderborn 07
Win 18%
Draw 26%
βœ“ Win 56%
✓ Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%
#16 Eliteserien Β· Norway
Valerenga
1 : 0 FT
Brann
βœ“ Win 56%
Draw 25%
Win 19%
Over 2.5 63% BTTS Yes 62%
#17 Serie A Β· Italy
Genoa
0 : 0 FT
Venezia
Win 55%
Draw 22%
Win 23%
Over 2.5 62% BTTS Yes 61%
#18 Super League Β· Switzerland
Lausanne
1 : 1 FT
FC Luzern
Win 33%
Draw 29%
Win 38%
Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 67%
#19 Serie A Β· Italy
Inter
2 : 0 FT
Udinese
βœ“ Win 56%
Draw 22%
Win 22%
Over 2.5 62% BTTS Yes 60%
#20 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
Sparta Rotterdam
0 : 1 FT
Feyenoord
Win 19%
Draw 21%
βœ“ Win 60%
Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 58%

Showing top 20 fixtures by combined expected goals. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Goal Fest β€” common questions

What does the Goal Fest market mean?

Goal Fest settles on whether a match is expected to produce a high combined goal count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate goal fest probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The combined expected goals shown here is the sum of both teams' expected goals, derived from their attack and defence strengths. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Goal Fest on Sunday 31 October 2021?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Baník Ostrava vs Sparta Praha at 4.18 combined expected goals.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest combined expected goals of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these goal fest predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.