Hannover 96 1-0 Eintracht Braunschweig – Result & Analysis
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Poisson rates Hannover 96 at 43% — recent form provides partial corroboration, though signals are mixed in this Hannover 96 vs Eintracht Braunschweig encounter.
✍️ Match Preview
Analysis
Eintracht Braunschweig make the trip to Heinz-von-Heiden-Arena to face Hannover 96 in 2. Bundesliga (matchday 27). The match kicks off on Friday 20 March 2026 at 17:30 UK time.
Form
Hannover 96 (all games): 5W 2D 3L across their last 10 — 1.70 PPG. Last five: W D W L D. Offensively they are averaging 1.60 goals per game, with 1.40 conceded. 2 clean sheets from 10 outings (20%). Both teams have scored in 80% of their matches — an extremely high rate that makes BTTS Yes a well-supported standalone angle from their form alone.
Hannover 96 at home: 4W 2D 4L from their last 10 home games — 1.40 PPG on home soil. At home they are averaging 1.40 goals scored and 1.40 conceded per game.
Eintracht Braunschweig have collected 1.20 PPG across their last 10 games: 3W 3D 4L. Last five: D L L D W. Their scoring rate of 1.10 per game is modest, conceding 1.50 — not a side to back heavily on the Over 2.5 from their form alone. 3 clean sheets from 10 outings (30%). Both teams have scored in 60% of their games — a noteworthy BTTS rate that supports the Yes market.
On the road, Eintracht Braunschweig have gone 2W 2D 6L in their last 10 away fixtures (0.80 PPG). Away from home they average 1.20 goals scored and 1.80 conceded per game. Both teams have scored in 80% of their away matches — a high BTTS rate on the road that directly informs this fixture.
The points-per-game gap of 0.50 in Hannover 96's favour (1.70 vs 1.20) is a statistically meaningful difference. The hosts are the form pick here, with draw protection the sensible hedge given the away side's competitiveness.
H2H Analysis
The head-to-head record is closely matched — across the 7 H2H matches in our data, the wins are level at 2 apiece, with 3 draws. Neither side has a commanding advantage.
Goals have been at a premium in this fixture — just 1.7 per game across the 7 H2H matches we hold, giving Under 2.5 a clear head-to-head base rate. The most recent of those, on 26 Oct 2025, ended Hannover 96 3–0 Eintracht Braunschweig — a Hannover 96 win.
With a balanced win record and just 1.7 goals per game, the H2H data points toward a tight, low-scoring contest — Under 2.5 is the stronger head-to-head angle regardless of which side wins.
Trading & In-Play
Hannover 96 — key trading statistics (last 60 games, 29 of them at home): at least one goal arrives before half-time in 59% of their matches in home games; when goalless at HT, a second-half goal follows 70% of the time; of the 18 games they led at half-time, they failed to win 28%; of the 13 games they trailed at half-time, they recovered to draw or win 62%; BTTS occurs in 55% of their matches (home games); Over 2.5 goals lands in 52% of games (home games).
Eintracht Braunschweig — key trading statistics (last 60 games, 29 of them away): at least one goal arrives before half-time in 72% of their matches in away games; when goalless at HT, a second-half goal follows 78% of the time; two or more arrive in the second half on 50% of those occasions; of the 15 games they led at half-time, they failed to win 33%; BTTS occurs in 59% of their matches (away games); Over 2.5 goals lands in 52% of games (away games).
BTTS rates are mixed from the trading data — Hannover 96 58% versus Eintracht Braunschweig 58%; no strong lean in either direction. The over/under 2.5 picture is inconclusive from the in-play data (Hannover 96 58% | Eintracht Braunschweig 53%). Note also that Eintracht Braunschweig surrender HT leads in 33% of cases while Hannover 96 recover from half-time deficits to draw or win 62% of the time — a dynamic that could influence in-play positioning.
Poisson Model
The Poisson distribution model projects Hannover 96 1.47 xG and Eintracht Braunschweig 1.15 xG. These expected goals figures are the primary input: they feed a goal-probability matrix across all scoreline combinations to derive the result and market probabilities below. Underlying strength ratings: Hannover 96 attack 0.894 / defence 0.953 | Eintracht Braunschweig attack 0.908 / defence 1.052. League average goals — home 1.567 / away 1.325. Data: built from Hannover 96's last 60 games and Eintracht Braunschweig's last 60.
Result probabilities: Hannover 96 43% | Draw 29% | Eintracht Braunschweig 28%. Fair-value odds: Hannover 96 2.32 | Draw 3.44 | Eintracht Braunschweig 3.59. This is a low-confidence result — no outcome reaches 45%. The draw at 29% is a primary outcome, not an afterthought.
Goals markets: Over 2.5 probability 49% | BTTS Yes probability 54% | Total xG 2.62. Over/Under 2.5 is close to a coin-flip at 49%/51% — the total xG of 2.62 sits near the 2.5 margin; this is a low-edge market from a Poisson standpoint. BTTS Yes at 54% is only a slight lean — neither team is projected to score with enough certainty to make Yes a clear standalone call.
Picks & Verdict
On the Poisson output, Hannover 96 are the pick at 43% — marginal model lean. Recent form corroborates the Poisson lean — partial multi-source support. Draw probability of 29% warrants consideration of Double Chance or Draw No Bet on Hannover 96 if the outright odds are short. The opposing side holds a 28% win probability per the model — this is not a banker and should be staked accordingly.
The Poisson model projects 2.62 xG in total — Under 2.5 at 51% — mixed conviction, supported by the H2H data averaging 1.7 goals per game across 7 H2H matches — though recent form (Hannover 96's last 10 home games and Eintracht Braunschweig's last 10 away games) averaging 2.9 goals per game points the other way.
Poisson assigns a 54% probability to BTTS Yes based on the attack/defence strength model. Form rates corroborate — both teams scored in: Hannover 96 50% (last 10 home games) | Eintracht Braunschweig 80% (last 10 away games).
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💡 Key Insights
🏟️ Match Context
• Fixture: Hannover 96 vs Eintracht Braunschweig | Competition: 2. Bundesliga, matchday 27 | Venue: Heinz-von-Heiden-Arena • Kick-off: Friday 20 March 2026 at 17:30 UK time • Data inputs: head-to-head data, recent form (overall and home/away), the Poisson prediction model and market pricing
📊 Statistical Prediction
• Poisson result probabilities: Hannover 96 43% | Draw 29% | Eintracht Braunschweig 28% • Poisson goal markets: Over 2.5 49% (Under 51%) | BTTS Yes 54% (No 46%) | xG Hannover 96 1.47 / Eintracht Braunschweig 1.15 • Poisson strength factors: Hannover 96 attack 0.894 / def 0.953 | Eintracht Braunschweig attack 0.908 / def 1.052 | league avg home 1.567 / away 1.325 • Poisson stance: Hannover 96 (43%) — low confidence — close contest
🧮 Prediction Model
1.47
Hannover 96 xG
Expected Goals
1.15
Eintracht Braunschweig xG
54%
BTTS
75%
Over 1.5
49%
Over 2.5
27%
Over 3.5
Full score-by-score matrix & model internals in the "Full Poisson Detail" section below ↓
⚠️ This analysis is generated algorithmically from statistical data and is intended for informational purposes only. It does not constitute betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.
❓ Hannover 96 vs Eintracht Braunschweig FAQs
What time does Hannover 96 vs Eintracht Braunschweig kick off?
Hannover 96 vs Eintracht Braunschweig kicked off at 17:30 UK time on Friday 20 March 2026 at Heinz-von-Heiden-Arena.
What was the final score in Hannover 96 vs Eintracht Braunschweig?
Hannover 96 1 - 0 Eintracht Braunschweig.
Where is Hannover 96 vs Eintracht Braunschweig being played?
The match is being played at Heinz-von-Heiden-Arena.
What competition is Hannover 96 vs Eintracht Braunschweig part of?
Hannover 96 vs Eintracht Braunschweig is a 2. Bundesliga fixture (matchday 27) (Germany).
Who is favourite to win Hannover 96 vs Eintracht Braunschweig?
Our statistical model gives Hannover 96 a 43% chance of winning, Eintracht Braunschweig a 28% chance, and a 29% chance of a draw — making Hannover 96 the favourite.
Will both teams score in Hannover 96 vs Eintracht Braunschweig?
Our model estimates a 54% probability that both Hannover 96 and Eintracht Braunschweig will score, so it leans towards BTTS Yes.
Will Hannover 96 vs Eintracht Braunschweig have over 2.5 goals?
Our model puts the probability of over 2.5 goals in this match at 49%, so it leans towards under 2.5 goals (51%).
🧮 Model Insight
Behind the Numbers
Hannover 96's attacking strength (0.89x league average) is weighed against Eintracht Braunschweig's defensive record (1.05x) to produce a home expected-goals figure of 1.47. Flip it around — Eintracht Braunschweig's attack (0.91x) against Hannover 96's defence (0.95x) — and the away total comes out at 1.15.
These ratings are built from Hannover 96's last 60 games and Eintracht Braunschweig's last 60 — a full enough recent sample to trust.
Most Likely Scorelines
The model's single most probable exact score is 1-1, at 13.9%. Close behind: 1-0 (9.1%), 2-1 (9.1%). Those top three scorelines alone account for 32% of the model's total probability mass — a relatively concentrated, predictable distribution for this fixture.
Most Likely Outcome
Hannover 96 Win
43%
2.32
29%
3.44
28%
3.59
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 1
12.3%
Draw
Most likely
1 – 0
10.7%
Home win
2 – 1
9.1%
Home win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.47
Hannover 96 xG
Total xG
2.62
1.15
Eintracht Braunschweig xG
2.32
43%
Home win
3.44
29%
Draw
3.59
28%
Away win
Goals Markets
74%
Over 1.5
1.35
26%
Under 1.5
3.85
49%
Over 2.5
2.04
51%
Under 2.5
1.96
27%
Over 3.5
3.70
73%
Under 3.5
1.37
13%
Over 4.5
7.69
87%
Under 4.5
1.15
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
54%
BTTS Yes
1.85
46%
BTTS No
2.18
Clean Sheet
32%
3.15
23%
4.36
Win to Nil
14%
7.31
6%
15.65
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7.3 | 8.4 | 4.8 | 1.8 | 0.5 | 0.1 |
| 1 | 10.7 | 12.3 | 7.0 | 2.7 | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| 2 | 7.9 | 9.1 | 5.2 | 2.0 | 0.6 | 0.1 |
| 3 | 3.9 | 4.4 | 2.5 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 1.4 | 1.6 | 0.9 | 0.4 | 0.1 | – |
| 5 | 0.4 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.1 | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · Outlined cell = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
❓ Hannover 96 vs Eintracht Braunschweig Prediction FAQs
What is the most likely scoreline for Hannover 96 vs Eintracht Braunschweig?
Our Poisson model rates 1-1 as the single most likely exact scoreline, at 13.9%.
How many goals are Hannover 96 and Eintracht Braunschweig expected to score?
The model projects 1.47 expected goals for Hannover 96 and 1.15 for Eintracht Braunschweig, a combined total of 2.62.
How confident is the prediction model for Hannover 96 vs Eintracht Braunschweig?
Not very — the model's leading outcome sits at just 43%, meaning this is rated as a genuinely open contest with no dominant favourite.
📈 Form Insight
The Form Picture
Across their last 60 outings, Hannover 96 have picked up 1.62 PPG on a 26W 19D 15L record — W-D-W-L-D across the most recent five.
Eintracht Braunschweig's form line: 17W 17D 26L from 60 games, 1.13 PPG, last five D-L-L-D-W.
Put side by side, Hannover 96 are the form team by 0.49 points per game — a gap wide enough to matter, though form alone rarely tells the whole story against Eintracht Braunschweig.
Home & Away Splits
On home soil, Hannover 96 have posted 1.76 PPG from their last 29 home games (14W 9D 6L).
On the road, Eintracht Braunschweig have gone 6W 8D 15L from their last 29 away games — 0.90 PPG when travelling.
Comparing the two in their relevant venue splits, Hannover 96 come out ahead — a more targeted read than the overall PPG figures above, since it strips out games played in the opposite context.
Scoring & Defensive Trends
Hannover 96 are averaging 1.43 goals scored and 1.17 conceded per game recently; Eintracht Braunschweig are on 1.15 scored and 1.68 conceded.
Last 60 Results
Current season: same league only · Previous season: all leagues (covers promoted/relegated teams)
Hannover 96
Blended
Eintracht Braunschweig
Blended
Hannover 96 (Home) vs Eintracht Braunschweig (Away)
Home games only for the home side · Away games only for the away side
Hannover 96
Blended
Eintracht Braunschweig
Blended
❓ Hannover 96 vs Eintracht Braunschweig Form FAQs
What form are Hannover 96 and Eintracht Braunschweig in coming into this match?
Hannover 96 have gone 26W 19D 15L in their last 60 games (1.62 PPG), while Eintracht Braunschweig have gone 17W 17D 26L in their last 60 (1.13 PPG).
Which team has the better venue record — Hannover 96 at home or Eintracht Braunschweig away?
Hannover 96's home record (1.76 PPG) is the stronger of the two venue-specific splits — Hannover 96 at home: 1.76 PPG; Eintracht Braunschweig away: 0.90 PPG.
Have Hannover 96 or Eintracht Braunschweig been keeping clean sheets recently?
Hannover 96 have kept a clean sheet in 32% of their recent games, Eintracht Braunschweig in 23%.
⚔️ Rivalry Insight
History of the Fixture
We have 9 H2H matches between these sides on record, dating back to September 2022 — enough to show some patterns. All of them came in 2. Bundesliga. The most recent was as recently as 25 October 2026, so it is a fresh reference point.
Records & Recent Trends
For context on how one-sided this fixture can get: Hannover 96 won Eintracht Braunschweig 0-3 Hannover 96 on 26 Oct 2025, the biggest margin in the H2H matches we hold.
Specifically as hosts in this fixture, Hannover 96 have gone 2W 2D 0L from the 4 H2H matches in our data played on their own ground against Eintracht Braunschweig — worth weighing alongside the overall series record.
Last 9 Meetings
3
Hannover 96
3
Draws
3
Eintracht Braunschweig
Recent Meetings
❓ Hannover 96 vs Eintracht Braunschweig H2H FAQs
What is the head-to-head record between Hannover 96 and Eintracht Braunschweig?
Across the 9 head-to-head matches in our data, Hannover 96 have won 3, Eintracht Braunschweig have won 3, and 3 have been drawn.
When did Hannover 96 and Eintracht Braunschweig last play each other?
The most recent meeting in our data was on 25 October 2026: Eintracht Braunschweig 2-0 Hannover 96.
📈 Trading Insight
How These Sides Start
Hannover 96 see a goal before the break in 59% of their matches. They've gone in front at half-time 31% of the time, though they've let that lead slip 33% of the time they've held it — worth watching if they're only ahead by one. They've also shown some fight from behind, salvaging a draw or win after trailing at half-time in 67% of those situations.
Eintracht Braunschweig are typically involved in an early goal — the half-time board shows at least one in 72% of their matches. They've also shown some fight from behind, salvaging a draw or win after trailing at half-time in 17% of those situations.
Goals & Clean Sheets
BTTS sits in mixed territory for this pairing — Hannover 96 55%, Eintracht Braunschweig 59% — no strong lean either way from the trading data alone.
Over 2.5 has been close to a coin-flip for both sides — 52% (Hannover 96) and 52% (Eintracht Braunschweig).
On the defensive side: Hannover 96 keep a clean sheet in 38% of their matches; Eintracht Braunschweig in 31%.
Current season: same league only. Previous season: all leagues (covers promoted/relegated teams). All = any venue | Venue = Hannover 96 home games / Eintracht Braunschweig away games. HT metrics require half-time score data — shown as — where unavailable.
❓ Hannover 96 vs Eintracht Braunschweig Trading FAQs
Do both teams usually score in Hannover 96 and Eintracht Braunschweig matches?
Yes — based on recent matches, both teams have scored in 55% of Hannover 96's games and 59% of Eintracht Braunschweig's, a combined rate that favours BTTS Yes.
Are Hannover 96 and Eintracht Braunschweig matches usually high-scoring?
Not particularly — Over 2.5 goals has come in for only 52% of Hannover 96's recent games and 52% of Eintracht Braunschweig's, pointing to a tighter contest.
Do Hannover 96 and Eintracht Braunschweig matches tend to have early goals?
There has been at least one first-half goal in 59% of Hannover 96's recent matches and 72% of Eintracht Braunschweig's — a useful reference point for first-half goal markets.
Prediction vindicated as Hannover 96 edge out Eintracht Braunschweig 1-0.
📝 Match Report
How It Unfolded
Hannover 96 beat Eintracht Braunschweig 1-0 at Heinz-von-Heiden-Arena, Regular Season - 27, in the 2. Bundesliga. The remainder of the report sets that outcome against the pre-match model, the markets and the teams' data profiles.
The Model vs The Result
The Poisson model went into this projecting Hannover 96 1.47 xG and Eintracht Braunschweig 1.15 xG, a combined 2.62. The scoreboard read 1-0 for 1 actual goal. Eintracht Braunschweig landed 1.1 under their projected return. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Hannover 96 attack 0.89 / defence 0.95 against Eintracht Braunschweig attack 0.91 / defence 1.05, drawn from 60/60 games (CurrentSeason).
On the result, the model split it Hannover 96 43% | Draw 29% | Eintracht Braunschweig 28%, with Hannover 96 to win its most likely call at 43%. The result followed the model's preferred path, landing its top-rated outcome.
Goals & Markets
The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 49%. The game delivered 1, so it stayed under — in line with the projection. Over 1.5 had been 75% and missed. On both teams to score, the model sat at 54% and the match did not — a miss on BTTS. Historically the two sides average 56% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (Hannover 96 58%, Eintracht Braunschweig 53%), a base rate that pointed the other way from today's under. Their combined BTTS history runs at 58%, which did not match the one-sided outcome.
Trading Patterns vs Reality
Hannover 96's trading profile (60 games, 29 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 58% of their matches — today it did not; they keep a clean sheet 32% of the time, and duly kept one.
Eintracht Braunschweig's trading profile (60 games, 29 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 58% of their matches — today it did not; they fail to score in 25% of games, a blank that repeated today.
Form vs Result
On form, Hannover 96 arrived the stronger side — 1.62 PPG against 1.13. Form held, and they took the win. Hannover 96 (home/away splits) conceded 0 against a 1.03 average — tighter than their form line. Eintracht Braunschweig (home/away splits) managed 0 against a 1.03 scoring average — below par going forward and conceded 1 against a 1.83 average — tighter than their form line.
Verdict
Grading the result against the stored data, 3 of 4 pre-match signals came in: result (hit), Over 2.5 (hit), BTTS (miss), form (hit). Partial vindication: some calls landed, others slipped.
💡 Key Insights
⚠️ This match report is generated algorithmically from the final score, our prediction model, and each team's historical form and trading data. Analysis is for informational purposes only.
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