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Draw No Bet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest draw no bet probability β€” Friday 10 April 2026

Draw No Bet backs a side to win, with the stake returned if the match is drawn. Our prediction model takes the side's win probability as a share of all decisive results, ignoring the draw. Only selections at 70%+ probability are shown.

13 fixtures cleared the bar on Friday 10 April 2026. The strongest reading belongs to SK Poltava vs Polessya (Polessya (draw no bet)) at 92% in the Premier League. The shortlist runs from 92% down to 72%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

The shortlist spans eight different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.

Of the nine fixtures on this list that have since finished, six landed the draw no bet market — 67%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Premier League Β· Ukraine Polessya (draw no bet) 92%
SK Poltava
0 : 4 FT
Polessya
Win 7%
Draw 12%
βœ“ Win 81%
✓ Over 2.5 70%
#2 Serie A Β· Italy AS Roma (draw no bet) 91%
AS Roma
3 : 0 FT
Pisa
βœ“ Win 77%
Draw 15%
Win 8%
✓ Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 55%
#3 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands Twente (draw no bet) 89%
Twente
2 : 1 FT
FC Volendam
βœ“ Win 68%
Draw 24%
Win 8%
Under 2.5 57% BTTS No 63% Twente Clean Sheet 58%
#4 Ligue 1 Β· France Marseille (draw no bet) 86%
Marseille
3 : 1 FT
Metz
βœ“ Win 70%
Draw 18%
Win 12%
✓ Over 2.5 61%
#5 Premier Division Β· Ireland St Patrick's Athl. (draw no bet) 82%
St Patrick's Athl.
0 : 1 FT
Shamrock Rovers
Win 60%
Draw 26%
Win 14%
Over 2.5 53%
#6 La Liga Β· Spain Real Madrid (draw no bet) 78%
Real Madrid
1 : 1 FT
Girona
Win 62%
Draw 21%
Win 17%
Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#7 Süper Lig Β· Turkey Beşiktaş (draw no bet) 75%
Beşiktaş
4 : 2 FT
Antalyaspor
βœ“ Win 49%
Draw 35%
Win 16%
Under 2.5 72% BTTS No 65% Beşiktaş Clean Sheet 54%
#8 Ligue 1 Β· France Monaco (draw no bet) 75%
Paris FC
4 : 1 FT
Monaco
Win 19%
Draw 22%
Win 59%
✓ Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#9 Premier Division Β· Ireland Dundalk (draw no bet) 75%
Dundalk
2 : 2 FT
Derry City
Win 48%
Draw 36%
Win 16%
Under 2.5 72% BTTS No 65% Dundalk Clean Sheet 54%
#10 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal Famalicao (draw no bet) 75%
Famalicao
1 : 1 FT
Moreirense
Win 56%
Draw 25%
Win 19%
✓ Under 2.5 58% BTTS No 57%
#11 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands MVV (draw no bet) 73%
MVV
0 : 0 FT
Helmond Sport
Win 56%
Draw 22%
Win 21%
Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 56%
#12 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany Karlsruher SC (draw no bet) 72%
Karlsruher SC
4 : 1 FT
Arminia Bielefeld
βœ“ Win 55%
Draw 24%
Win 21%
✓ Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
#13 Premier Division Β· Ireland Bohemians (draw no bet) 72%
Bohemians
1 : 2 FT
Sligo Rovers
Win 47%
Draw 35%
Win 18%
Under 2.5 66% BTTS No 58%

Showing top 13 fixtures by draw no bet probability (a 70% or higher draw no bet probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Draw No Bet β€” common questions

What does the Draw No Bet market mean?

Draw No Bet settles on whether a match is won by the selected side, with the stake returned if it ends level. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate draw no bet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The draw no bet probability shown here is the selected side's win probability divided by the chance the match has a winner at all, since a draw returns the stake. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Draw No Bet on Friday 10 April 2026?

13 fixtures met the criteria, led by SK Poltava vs Polessya (Polessya (draw no bet)) at 92% draw no bet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 70% or higher draw no bet probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these draw no bet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.