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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability β€” Sunday 16 August 2026

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

The model shortlists 20 fixtures on Sunday 16 August 2026. Cobresal vs Concepción (Cobresal or draw) sits top on 86% in the Primera División. The shortlist runs from 86% down to 77%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

The shortlist spans nine different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 15 landed the double chance market — 75%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Primera División Β· Chile Cobresal or draw 86%
Cobresal
0 : 2 FT
Concepción
Win 65%
Draw 21%
Win 14%
#2 K League 1 Β· South-Korea Jeonbuk Motors or draw 86%
Bucheon FC 1995
3 : 2 FT
Jeonbuk Motors
Win 14%
Draw 33%
Win 53%
Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 60%
#3 Veikkausliiga Β· Finland HJK Helsinki or draw 85%
HJK Helsinki
3 : 0 FT
FF Jaro
βœ“ Win 66%
Draw 20%
Win 15%
✓ Over 2.5 59% BTTS Yes 53%
#4 Bundesliga Β· Austria Rapid Vienna or draw 85%
Rapid Vienna
8 : 0 FT
Grazer AK
βœ“ Win 56%
Draw 29%
Win 15%
Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 57%
#5 Primera División Β· Chile Nublense or draw 84%
Nublense
2 : 1 FT
Union La Calera
βœ“ Win 62%
Draw 21%
Win 16%
#6 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland Gornik Zabrze or draw 82%
Gornik Zabrze
2 : 1 FT
Wisla Krakow
βœ“ Win 62%
Draw 20%
Win 18%
✓ Over 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS Yes 66%
#7 Süper Lig Β· Turkey Başakşehir or draw 82%
Başakşehir
2 : 0 FT
Kocaelispor
βœ“ Win 54%
Draw 28%
Win 18%
#8 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany Arminia Bielefeld or draw 81%
Arminia Bielefeld
3 : 0 FT
Energie Cottbus
βœ“ Win 60%
Draw 21%
Win 19%
✓ Over 2.5 64% BTTS Yes 60%
#9 Premier League Β· Ukraine LNZ Cherkasy or draw 81%
LNZ Cherkasy
2 : 0 FT
Chornomorets
βœ“ Win 48%
Draw 33%
Win 19%
✓ Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 53%
#10 Serie A Β· Brazil Bahia or draw 81%
Chapecoense-sc
3 : 3 FT
Bahia
Win 19%
Draw 29%
Win 52%
✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#11 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands Twente or draw 80%
Twente
3 : 1 FT
PEC Zwolle
βœ“ Win 58%
Draw 22%
Win 20%
✓ Over 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
#12 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal Famalicao or draw 80%
Famalicao
1 : 2 FT
Maritimo
Win 56%
Draw 24%
Win 20%
#13 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden IF Brommapojkarna or draw 80%
IF Brommapojkarna
3 : 1 FT
Orgryte IS
βœ“ Win 53%
Draw 27%
Win 20%
✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#14 Serie A Β· Brazil Sao Paulo or draw 79%
Sao Paulo
1 : 1 FT
Coritiba
Win 48%
Draw 31%
Win 21%
✓ Under 2.5 55%
#15 Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic Slavia Praha or draw 79%
Slovan Liberec
1 : 1 FT
Slavia Praha
Win 21%
Draw 26%
Win 53%
✓ Under 2.5 55%
#16 Eliteserien Β· Norway Sarpsborg 08 FF or draw 78%
Sarpsborg 08 FF
1 : 2 FT
Sandefjord
Win 51%
Draw 28%
Win 22%
Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 59%
#17 Eliteserien Β· Norway Fredrikstad or draw 78%
Fredrikstad
1 : 0 FT
Kristiansund BK
βœ“ Win 53%
Draw 25%
Win 22%
✓ Under 2.5 55%
#18 Premier League Β· Ukraine Dynamo Kyiv or draw 78%
Dynamo Kyiv
2 : 1 FT
Kolos Kovalivka
βœ“ Win 45%
Draw 32%
Win 22%
Under 2.5 55%
#19 Primera División Β· Chile Colo Colo or draw 77%
Colo Colo
2 : 2 FT
O'Higgins
Win 55%
Draw 22%
Win 23%
✓ Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
#20 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden Djurgardens IF or draw 77%
Djurgardens IF
1 : 3 FT
AIK Stockholm
Win 53%
Draw 24%
Win 23%
✓ Over 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS Yes 66%

Showing top 20 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Double Chance β€” common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Sunday 16 August 2026?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Cobresal vs Concepción (Cobresal or draw) at 86% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.