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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability β€” Friday 14 August 2026

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

15 fixtures cleared the bar on Friday 14 August 2026. The strongest reading belongs to Galatasaray vs Çorum FK (Galatasaray or draw) at 88% in the Süper Lig. The shortlist runs from 88% down to 75%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

The shortlist spans nine different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.

Of the 15 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 13 landed the double chance market — 87%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Süper Lig Β· Turkey Galatasaray or draw 88%
Galatasaray
2 : 2 FT
Çorum FK
Win 67%
Draw 21%
Win 12%
✓ Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 55%
#2 Veikkausliiga Β· Finland VPS or draw 87%
VPS
1 : 3 FT
Turku PS
Win 63%
Draw 24%
Win 13%
Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 63% VPS Clean Sheet 54%
#3 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland Legia Warszawa or draw 85%
Legia Warszawa
5 : 0 FT
Radomiak Radom
βœ“ Win 62%
Draw 23%
Win 15%
✓ Over 2.5 59% BTTS Yes 55%
#4 Super League Β· China Shandong Luneng or draw 85%
Shandong Luneng
3 : 1 FT
Qingdao Jonoon
βœ“ Win 69%
Draw 15%
Win 15%
✓ Over 2.5 81% ✓ BTTS Yes 72%
#5 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal Sporting CP or draw 84%
Sporting CP
3 : 2 FT
Vitória SC
βœ“ Win 64%
Draw 20%
Win 16%
✓ Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS Yes 55%
#6 Super League Β· China Qingdao Youth Island or draw 83%
Qingdao Youth Island
0 : 0 FT
Chongqing Tongliang Long
Win 57%
Draw 26%
Win 17%
✓ Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 62%
#7 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia Al-Hilal Saudi FC or draw 83%
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
4 : 2 FT
Al-Faisaly FC
βœ“ Win 62%
Draw 21%
Win 17%
✓ Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#8 Bundesliga Β· Austria Lask Linz or draw 82%
Lask Linz
4 : 1 FT
Ried
βœ“ Win 51%
Draw 31%
Win 18%
Under 2.5 53%
#9 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden IF Elfsborg or draw 80%
IF Elfsborg
3 : 0 FT
Vasteras SK FK
βœ“ Win 54%
Draw 26%
Win 20%
✓ Over 2.5 59% BTTS Yes 59%
#10 Superettan Β· Sweden IK brage or draw 80%
IK brage
3 : 3 FT
Orebro SK
Win 61%
Draw 19%
Win 20%
✓ Over 2.5 73% ✓ BTTS Yes 68%
#11 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany Holstein Kiel or draw 79%
Holstein Kiel
2 : 2 FT
FC St. Pauli
Win 55%
Draw 24%
Win 21%
✓ Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#12 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands Telstar or draw 79%
Telstar
1 : 3 FT
Sparta Rotterdam
Win 55%
Draw 23%
Win 21%
✓ Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
#13 Premier League Β· Ukraine Epitsentr Dunayivtsi or draw 77%
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
0 : 0 FT
Veres Rivne
Win 45%
Draw 32%
Win 23%
✓ Under 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS No 58%
#14 Ligue 2 Β· France Grenoble or draw 76%
Grenoble
0 : 0 FT
Metz
Win 44%
Draw 31%
Win 24%
✓ Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 53%
#15 Ligue 2 Β· France RED Star FC 93 or draw 75%
RED Star FC 93
0 : 0 FT
Sochaux
Win 46%
Draw 29%
Win 25%

Showing top 15 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Double Chance β€” common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Friday 14 August 2026?

15 fixtures met the criteria, led by Galatasaray vs Çorum FK (Galatasaray or draw) at 88% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.