Double Chance Predictions
Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability — Sunday 17 May 2026
Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.
20 matches cleared our threshold on Sunday 17 May 2026. The strongest reading belongs to AZ Alkmaar vs NAC Breda (AZ Alkmaar or draw) at 91% in the Eredivisie. The shortlist runs from 91% down to 81%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.
The shortlist spans seven different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.
Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 14 landed the double chance market — 70%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.
Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.
Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Eredivisie · Netherlands
AZ Alkmaar or draw
91%
Serie A · Italy
Inter or draw
91%
Süper Lig · Turkey
Trabzonspor or draw
90%
La Liga · Spain
Barcelona or draw
89%
2. Bundesliga · Germany
SV Elversberg or draw
88%
Süper Lig · Turkey
Fenerbahçe or draw
87%
Primera División · Chile
Deportes Limache or draw
85%
Premier League · Ukraine
Kolos Kovalivka or draw
85%
Serie A · Italy
Juventus or draw
84%
Eredivisie · Netherlands
Utrecht or draw
84%
Premier League · Russia
Rubin or draw
84%
Premier League · Russia
FC Krasnodar or draw
84%
K League 1 · South-Korea
Pohang Steelers or draw
83%
Serie A · Italy
Udinese or draw
83%
2. Bundesliga · Germany
FC Schalke 04 or draw
83%
Allsvenskan · Sweden
Hammarby FF or draw
83%
Serie A · Brazil
RB Bragantino or draw
83%
Premier League · Ukraine
Karpaty or draw
82%
Premier League · Russia
Zenit or draw
82%
Serie A · Italy
Napoli or draw
81%
Showing top 20 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.
Related markets
Double Chance — common questions
What does the Double Chance market mean?
Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.
How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?
Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.
How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Sunday 17 May 2026?
20 fixtures met the criteria, led by AZ Alkmaar vs NAC Breda (AZ Alkmaar or draw) at 91% double chance probability.
Which fixtures appear on this page?
Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.
How accurate are these double chance predictions?
Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.
Are these predictions betting tips?
No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.