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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability β€” Tuesday 28 April 2026

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

Five matches cleared our threshold on Tuesday 28 April 2026. The strongest reading belongs to Al-Hilal Saudi FC vs Damac (Al-Hilal Saudi FC or draw) at 92% in the Pro League. The shortlist runs from 92% down to 77%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Of the five fixtures on this list that have since finished, three landed the double chance market — 60%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia Al-Hilal Saudi FC or draw 92%
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
1 : 0 FT
Damac
βœ“ Win 78%
Draw 14%
Win 8%
Over 2.5 66%
#2 League One Β· England Stockport County or draw 86%
Stockport County
1 : 2 FT
Port Vale
Win 66%
Draw 20%
Win 14%
✓ Over 2.5 54%
#3 Superettan Β· Sweden IFK Norrkoping or draw 84%
IFK Norrkoping
1 : 3 FT
Landskrona BoIS
Win 64%
Draw 20%
Win 16%
✓ Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#4 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia Al Khaleej Saihat or draw 81%
Al Khaleej Saihat
3 : 1 FT
Al Najma
βœ“ Win 61%
Draw 20%
Win 19%
✓ Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
#5 Championship Β· England Southampton or draw 77%
Southampton
2 : 2 FT
Ipswich
Win 50%
Draw 27%
Win 23%
✓ BTTS Yes 55%

Showing top 5 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Double Chance β€” common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Tuesday 28 April 2026?

five fixtures met the criteria, led by Al-Hilal Saudi FC vs Damac (Al-Hilal Saudi FC or draw) at 92% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.