Double Chance Predictions
Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability — Sunday 1 March 2026
Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.
20 matches cleared our threshold on Sunday 1 March 2026. PAOK vs Asteras Tripolis (PAOK or draw) led the list at 93% in the Super League 1. The shortlist runs from 93% down to 77%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.
Super League 1 supplies three of the top 10, making it the dominant competition on this list.
Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 14 landed the double chance market — 70%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.
Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.
Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Super League 1 · Greece
PAOK or draw
93%
Thai League 1 · Thailand
BG Pathum United or draw
93%
Super League 1 · Greece
Olympiakos Piraeus or draw
90%
Super League 1 · Greece
AEK Athens FC or draw
87%
Serie A · Italy
AC Milan or draw
86%
Süper Lig · Turkey
Fenerbahçe or draw
84%
K League 1 · South-Korea
Jeonbuk Motors or draw
82%
Premier League · Russia
Dynamo or draw
82%
Super League · Switzerland
BSC Young Boys or draw
81%
Challenger Pro League · Belgium
Lommel United or draw
81%
La Liga · Spain
Real Betis or draw
80%
Serie B · Italy
Palermo or draw
80%
Ekstraklasa · Poland
Jagiellonia or draw
80%
Super League 1 · Greece
Panathinaikos or draw
79%
Primera División · Chile
Universidad de Concepcion or draw
79%
Serie A · Italy
Atalanta or draw
79%
Süper Lig · Turkey
Gençlerbirliği S.K. or draw
78%
Primera División · Chile
Colo Colo or draw
78%
Bundesliga · Austria
SCR Altach or draw
78%
Bundesliga · Germany
VfB Stuttgart or draw
77%
Showing top 20 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.
Related markets
Double Chance — common questions
What does the Double Chance market mean?
Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.
How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?
Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.
How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Sunday 1 March 2026?
20 fixtures met the criteria, led by PAOK vs Asteras Tripolis (PAOK or draw) at 93% double chance probability.
Which fixtures appear on this page?
Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.
How accurate are these double chance predictions?
Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.
Are these predictions betting tips?
No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.