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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability β€” Sunday 8 February 2026

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

20 matches cleared our threshold on Sunday 8 February 2026. Benfica vs Alverca (Benfica or draw) led the list at 93% in the Primeira Liga. The shortlist runs from 93% down to 78%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

The shortlist spans eight different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 17 landed the double chance market — 85%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal Benfica or draw 93%
Benfica
2 : 1 FT
Alverca
βœ“ Win 80%
Draw 13%
Win 7%
✓ Over 2.5 66% BTTS No 54%
#2 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal SC Braga or draw 88%
SC Braga
3 : 0 FT
Rio Ave
βœ“ Win 72%
Draw 16%
Win 12%
✓ Over 2.5 67% BTTS Yes 56%
#3 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium Union St. Gilloise or draw 88%
Union St. Gilloise
2 : 1 FT
RAAL La Louvière
βœ“ Win 65%
Draw 23%
Win 12%
Under 2.5 58% BTTS No 62% Union St. Gilloise Clean Sheet 55%
#4 Super League 1 Β· Greece Olympiakos Piraeus or draw 88%
Olympiakos Piraeus
0 : 1 FT
Panathinaikos
Win 67%
Draw 21%
Win 12%
✓ BTTS No 57%
#5 La Liga Β· Spain Atletico Madrid or draw 87%
Atletico Madrid
0 : 1 FT
Real Betis
Win 65%
Draw 22%
Win 13%
Over 2.5 57%
#6 Super League 1 Β· Greece AEK Athens FC or draw 86%
Panserraikos
0 : 4 FT
AEK Athens FC
Win 14%
Draw 21%
βœ“ Win 65%
✓ BTTS No 56%
#7 Serie A Β· Italy Inter or draw 85%
Sassuolo
0 : 5 FT
Inter
Win 15%
Draw 24%
βœ“ Win 62%
Under 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS No 60%
#8 Serie B Β· Italy Monza or draw 85%
Monza
2 : 1 FT
Avellino
βœ“ Win 60%
Draw 25%
Win 15%
Under 2.5 56% BTTS No 57%
#9 Championship Β· England Swansea or draw 85%
Swansea
4 : 0 FT
Sheffield Wednesday
βœ“ Win 59%
Draw 26%
Win 15%
Under 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS No 55%
#10 Süper Lig Β· Turkey Başakşehir or draw 83%
Eyüpspor
1 : 2 FT
Başakşehir
Win 17%
Draw 30%
βœ“ Win 53%
✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#11 Primera División Β· Chile U. Catolica or draw 83%
U. Catolica
2 : 0 FT
Concepción
βœ“ Win 60%
Draw 23%
Win 17%
#12 Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic Hradec Králové or draw 83%
Hradec Králové
3 : 0 FT
Dukla Praha
βœ“ Win 57%
Draw 26%
Win 17%
Under 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS No 56%
#13 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland Pogon Szczecin or draw 82%
Pogon Szczecin
1 : 1 FT
Nieciecza
Win 64%
Draw 18%
Win 18%
Over 2.5 75% ✓ BTTS Yes 68%
#14 Serie A Β· Italy Juventus or draw 82%
Juventus
2 : 2 FT
Lazio
Win 53%
Draw 29%
Win 18%
Under 2.5 70% BTTS No 66% Juventus Clean Sheet 53%
#15 Süper Lig Β· Turkey Galatasaray or draw 81%
Rizespor
0 : 3 FT
Galatasaray
Win 19%
Draw 30%
βœ“ Win 51%
BTTS Yes 56%
#16 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal Nacional or draw 80%
Nacional
0 : 0 FT
Casa Pia
Win 61%
Draw 19%
Win 20%
Over 2.5 72% BTTS Yes 67%
#17 La Liga Β· Spain Alaves or draw 79%
Alaves
0 : 2 FT
Getafe
Win 48%
Draw 31%
Win 21%
✓ Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 57%
#18 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands GO Ahead Eagles or draw 79%
GO Ahead Eagles
1 : 1 FT
Telstar
Win 56%
Draw 23%
Win 21%
Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 55%
#19 Super League Β· Switzerland FC Basel 1893 or draw 78%
FC Basel 1893
2 : 1 FT
FC Zurich
βœ“ Win 48%
Draw 30%
Win 22%
Under 2.5 58%
#20 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands PSV Eindhoven or draw 78%
Groningen
1 : 2 FT
PSV Eindhoven
Win 22%
Draw 23%
βœ“ Win 55%
✓ Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%

Showing top 20 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Double Chance β€” common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Sunday 8 February 2026?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Benfica vs Alverca (Benfica or draw) at 93% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.