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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability β€” Tuesday 3 February 2026

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

Ten fixtures cleared the bar on Tuesday 3 February 2026. The strongest reading belongs to Harrogate Town vs Swindon Town (Swindon Town or draw) at 88% in the League Two. The shortlist runs from 88% down to 75%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

The shortlist spans six different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.

Of the ten fixtures on this list that have since finished, seven landed the double chance market — 70%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 League Two Β· England Swindon Town or draw 88%
Harrogate Town
0 : 1 FT
Swindon Town
Win 12%
Draw 20%
βœ“ Win 68%
✓ BTTS No 57%
#2 Championship Β· England Sheffield Utd or draw 83%
Sheffield Utd
3 : 1 FT
Oxford United
βœ“ Win 58%
Draw 25%
Win 17%
#3 League One Β· England Barnsley or draw 82%
Barnsley
2 : 2 FT
Northampton
Win 61%
Draw 21%
Win 18%
✓ Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#4 League Two Β· England Walsall or draw 81%
Bristol Rovers
2 : 0 FT
Walsall
Win 19%
Draw 24%
Win 57%
✓ Under 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS No 54%
#5 Serie A Β· Italy AC Milan or draw 81%
Bologna
0 : 3 FT
AC Milan
Win 19%
Draw 25%
βœ“ Win 56%
Under 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS No 55%
#6 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands Dordrecht or draw 80%
Dordrecht
3 : 0 FT
Helmond Sport
βœ“ Win 55%
Draw 26%
Win 20%
✓ Over 2.5 58% BTTS Yes 58%
#7 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia Al Kholood or draw 78%
Damac
0 : 0 FT
Al Kholood
Win 22%
Draw 25%
Win 52%
Over 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 56%
#8 Championship Β· England Blackburn or draw 77%
Blackburn
1 : 0 FT
Sheffield Wednesday
βœ“ Win 47%
Draw 30%
Win 23%
✓ Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 55%
#9 League One Β· England Burton Albion or draw 76%
Burton Albion
1 : 2 FT
Doncaster
Win 52%
Draw 24%
Win 24%
✓ BTTS Yes 53%
#10 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia Al Taawon or draw 75%
Al-Ettifaq
1 : 0 FT
Al Taawon
Win 25%
Draw 28%
Win 47%
BTTS Yes 53%

Showing top 10 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Double Chance β€” common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Tuesday 3 February 2026?

ten fixtures met the criteria, led by Harrogate Town vs Swindon Town (Swindon Town or draw) at 88% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.