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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability β€” Monday 2 February 2026

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

Seven matches cleared our threshold on Monday 2 February 2026. Casa Pia vs FC Porto (FC Porto or draw) led the list at 90% in the Primeira Liga. The shortlist runs from 90% down to 78%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

The shortlist spans six different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.

Of the seven fixtures on this list that have since finished, five landed the double chance market — 71%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal FC Porto or draw 90%
Casa Pia
2 : 1 FT
FC Porto
Win 10%
Draw 19%
Win 71%
BTTS No 58%
#2 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal SC Braga or draw 84%
AVS
0 : 4 FT
SC Braga
Win 16%
Draw 21%
βœ“ Win 63%
✓ Over 2.5 54%
#3 Premier League Β· England Sunderland or draw 83%
Sunderland
3 : 0 FT
Burnley
βœ“ Win 54%
Draw 28%
Win 17%
BTTS Yes 54%
#4 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia Al-Nassr or draw 81%
Al Riyadh
0 : 1 FT
Al-Nassr
Win 19%
Draw 22%
βœ“ Win 60%
Over 2.5 62% BTTS Yes 59%
#5 Süper Lig Β· Turkey Fenerbahçe or draw 81%
Kocaelispor
0 : 2 FT
Fenerbahçe
Win 19%
Draw 31%
βœ“ Win 50%
BTTS Yes 55%
#6 Primera División Β· Chile O'Higgins or draw 81%
O'Higgins
2 : 1 FT
Concepción
βœ“ Win 56%
Draw 24%
Win 19%
Under 2.5 54% BTTS No 53%
#7 Serie A Β· Italy AS Roma or draw 78%
Udinese
1 : 0 FT
AS Roma
Win 22%
Draw 29%
Win 49%
✓ Under 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS No 60%

Showing top 7 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Double Chance β€” common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Monday 2 February 2026?

seven fixtures met the criteria, led by Casa Pia vs FC Porto (FC Porto or draw) at 90% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.