Double Chance Predictions
Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability — Sunday 14 December 2025
Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.
The model shortlists 20 fixtures on Sunday 14 December 2025. Bayern München vs FSV Mainz 05 (Bayern München or draw) sits top on 95% in the Bundesliga. The shortlist runs from 95% down to 78%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.
Ligue 1 supplies four of the top 10, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.
Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 14 landed the double chance market — 70%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.
Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.
Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Bundesliga · Germany
Bayern München or draw
95%
Ligue 1 · France
Strasbourg or draw
93%
Premier League · England
Brentford or draw
89%
Super League · Switzerland
BSC Young Boys or draw
87%
Ligue 1 · France
Marseille or draw
87%
Ligue 1 · France
Lens or draw
85%
Serie B · Italy
Carrarese or draw
85%
Super League 1 · Greece
PAOK or draw
84%
Ligue 1 · France
Lyon or draw
84%
Thai League 1 · Thailand
Bangkok United or draw
83%
2. Bundesliga · Germany
SV Elversberg or draw
83%
Bundesliga · Austria
Sturm Graz or draw
82%
Serie B · Italy
Frosinone or draw
82%
Premier League · Ukraine
Ruh Lviv or draw
81%
Serie A · Italy
Inter or draw
79%
2. Bundesliga · Germany
FC Schalke 04 or draw
79%
Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
Gent or draw
79%
Ekstraklasa · Poland
Raków Częstochowa or draw
78%
Thai League 1 · Thailand
BG Pathum United or draw
78%
Primeira Liga · Portugal
Alverca or draw
78%
Showing top 20 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.
Related markets
Double Chance — common questions
What does the Double Chance market mean?
Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.
How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?
Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.
How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Sunday 14 December 2025?
20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Bayern München vs FSV Mainz 05 (Bayern München or draw) at 95% double chance probability.
Which fixtures appear on this page?
Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.
How accurate are these double chance predictions?
Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.
Are these predictions betting tips?
No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.