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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability β€” Saturday 13 December 2025

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

20 fixtures cleared the bar on Saturday 13 December 2025. The strongest reading belongs to Sporting CP vs AVS (Sporting CP or draw) at 95% in the Primeira Liga. The shortlist runs from 95% down to 83%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

The shortlist spans nine different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 20 landed the double chance market — 100%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal Sporting CP or draw 95%
Sporting CP
6 : 0 FT
AVS
βœ“ Win 84%
Draw 11%
Win 5%
✓ Over 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS No 56% ✓ Sporting CP Clean Sheet 54%
#2 Premier League Β· England Arsenal or draw 94%
Arsenal
2 : 1 FT
Wolves
βœ“ Win 77%
Draw 16%
Win 6%
BTTS No 66% Arsenal Clean Sheet 62%
#3 La Liga Β· Spain Atletico Madrid or draw 91%
Atletico Madrid
2 : 1 FT
Valencia
βœ“ Win 76%
Draw 15%
Win 9%
✓ Over 2.5 63%
#4 La Liga Β· Spain Barcelona or draw 90%
Barcelona
2 : 0 FT
Osasuna
βœ“ Win 73%
Draw 17%
Win 10%
Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS No 54%
#5 Süper Lig Β· Turkey Galatasaray or draw 90%
Antalyaspor
1 : 4 FT
Galatasaray
Win 10%
Draw 23%
βœ“ Win 66%
✓ Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#6 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands PSV Eindhoven or draw 89%
PSV Eindhoven
4 : 3 FT
Heracles
βœ“ Win 75%
Draw 14%
Win 11%
✓ Over 2.5 77% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
#7 Thai League 1 Β· Thailand Sukhothai FC or draw 88%
Sukhothai FC
2 : 1 FT
Nakhon Ratchasima FC
βœ“ Win 63%
Draw 25%
Win 12%
✓ Over 2.5 53%
#8 Bundesliga Β· Germany 1899 Hoffenheim or draw 87%
1899 Hoffenheim
4 : 1 FT
Hamburger SV
βœ“ Win 66%
Draw 21%
Win 13%
✓ Over 2.5 54%
#9 Super League Β· Switzerland FC Sion or draw 87%
FC Sion
1 : 0 FT
Grasshoppers
βœ“ Win 66%
Draw 21%
Win 13%
✓ BTTS No 56%
#10 League One Β· England Bolton or draw 86%
Bolton
2 : 1 FT
Exeter City
βœ“ Win 61%
Draw 26%
Win 14%
Under 2.5 66% BTTS No 67% Bolton Clean Sheet 57%
#11 League One Β· England Cardiff or draw 86%
Cardiff
4 : 3 FT
Doncaster
βœ“ Win 67%
Draw 19%
Win 14%
✓ Over 2.5 57%
#12 Bundesliga Β· Germany Bayer Leverkusen or draw 86%
Bayer Leverkusen
2 : 0 FT
1. FC Köln
βœ“ Win 66%
Draw 20%
Win 14%
Over 2.5 60% BTTS Yes 53%
#13 Super League 1 Β· Greece Levadiakos or draw 86%
Levadiakos
3 : 0 FT
Larisa
βœ“ Win 70%
Draw 17%
Win 14%
✓ Over 2.5 71% BTTS Yes 61%
#14 Championship Β· England Birmingham or draw 86%
Birmingham
1 : 1 FT
Charlton
Win 65%
Draw 21%
Win 14%
Over 2.5 57%
#15 Ligue 2 Β· France Saint Etienne or draw 85%
Saint Etienne
2 : 2 FT
Bastia
Win 62%
Draw 23%
Win 15%
Under 2.5 56% BTTS No 58%
#16 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands Groningen or draw 84%
Groningen
3 : 0 FT
FC Volendam
βœ“ Win 62%
Draw 22%
Win 16%
#17 Serie B Β· Italy Cesena or draw 84%
Cesena
3 : 2 FT
Mantova
βœ“ Win 53%
Draw 30%
Win 16%
Under 2.5 67% BTTS No 63%
#18 League Two Β· England Walsall or draw 84%
Walsall
1 : 1 FT
Shrewsbury
Win 63%
Draw 20%
Win 16%
Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#19 Championship Β· England Coventry or draw 83%
Coventry
1 : 0 FT
Bristol City
βœ“ Win 61%
Draw 22%
Win 17%
Over 2.5 58% BTTS Yes 55%
#20 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal GIL Vicente or draw 83%
Casa Pia
1 : 1 FT
GIL Vicente
Win 17%
Draw 24%
Win 59%

Showing top 20 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Double Chance β€” common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Saturday 13 December 2025?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Sporting CP vs AVS (Sporting CP or draw) at 95% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.