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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability β€” Saturday 13 September 2025

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

20 matches cleared our threshold on Saturday 13 September 2025. The strongest reading belongs to Degerfors IF vs Mjallby AIF (Mjallby AIF or draw) at 92% in the Allsvenskan. The shortlist runs from 92% down to 79%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

The shortlist spans nine different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 16 landed the double chance market — 80%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden Mjallby AIF or draw 92%
Degerfors IF
0 : 1 FT
Mjallby AIF
Win 8%
Draw 19%
βœ“ Win 73%
✓ Under 2.5 53% ✓ BTTS No 65% ✓ Mjallby AIF Clean Sheet 60%
#2 Bundesliga Β· Germany Bayern München or draw 89%
Bayern München
5 : 0 FT
Hamburger SV
βœ“ Win 73%
Draw 16%
Win 11%
✓ Over 2.5 65% BTTS Yes 53%
#3 Süper Lig Β· Turkey Galatasaray or draw 87%
Eyüpspor
0 : 2 FT
Galatasaray
Win 13%
Draw 19%
βœ“ Win 68%
Over 2.5 68% BTTS Yes 59%
#4 Super League Β· Switzerland FC ST. Gallen or draw 87%
FC ST. Gallen
1 : 0 FT
FC Lugano
βœ“ Win 67%
Draw 20%
Win 13%
Over 2.5 63% BTTS Yes 55%
#5 League One Β· England Exeter City or draw 85%
Exeter City
0 : 2 FT
Port Vale
Win 62%
Draw 23%
Win 15%
✓ Under 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS No 59%
#6 Superettan Β· Sweden Falkenbergs FF or draw 83%
Falkenbergs FF
3 : 1 FT
Utsikten
βœ“ Win 59%
Draw 24%
Win 17%
#7 Premier League Β· England Fulham or draw 83%
Fulham
1 : 0 FT
Leeds
βœ“ Win 62%
Draw 21%
Win 17%
Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 53%
#8 League Two Β· England Salford City or draw 83%
Shrewsbury
1 : 3 FT
Salford City
Win 17%
Draw 31%
βœ“ Win 52%
Under 2.5 74% BTTS No 70% Salford City Clean Sheet 57%
#9 Premier League Β· England Crystal Palace or draw 81%
Crystal Palace
0 : 0 FT
Sunderland
Win 58%
Draw 24%
Win 19%
#10 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands Feyenoord or draw 81%
Feyenoord
1 : 0 FT
Heerenveen
βœ“ Win 60%
Draw 22%
Win 19%
Over 2.5 58% BTTS Yes 56%
#11 League One Β· England AFC Wimbledon or draw 81%
AFC Wimbledon
2 : 1 FT
Rotherham
βœ“ Win 52%
Draw 29%
Win 19%
Under 2.5 68% BTTS No 64%
#12 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal FC Porto or draw 81%
FC Porto
1 : 0 FT
Nacional
βœ“ Win 57%
Draw 24%
Win 19%
#13 League One Β· England Luton or draw 81%
Luton
2 : 3 FT
Plymouth
Win 54%
Draw 27%
Win 19%
Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 59%
#14 Super League 1 Β· Greece Olympiakos Piraeus or draw 80%
Olympiakos Piraeus
5 : 0 FT
Panserraikos
βœ“ Win 54%
Draw 27%
Win 20%
Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 59%
#15 Ligue 2 Β· France Annecy or draw 80%
Annecy
1 : 1 FT
Reims
Win 57%
Draw 23%
Win 20%
#16 Eliteserien Β· Norway Molde or draw 80%
Molde
1 : 2 FT
Fredrikstad
Win 52%
Draw 27%
Win 20%
Under 2.5 59% BTTS No 56%
#17 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands Twente or draw 80%
Twente
2 : 2 FT
NAC Breda
Win 55%
Draw 25%
Win 20%
Under 2.5 53%
#18 Süper Lig Β· Turkey Konyaspor or draw 79%
Konyaspor
1 : 2 FT
Alanyaspor
Win 53%
Draw 26%
Win 21%
#19 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium Union St. Gilloise or draw 79%
Dender
0 : 1 FT
Union St. Gilloise
Win 21%
Draw 36%
βœ“ Win 42%
✓ Under 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS No 59%
#20 League Two Β· England Tranmere or draw 79%
Tranmere
1 : 1 FT
Newport County
Win 55%
Draw 24%
Win 21%

Showing top 20 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Double Chance β€” common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Saturday 13 September 2025?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Degerfors IF vs Mjallby AIF (Mjallby AIF or draw) at 92% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.