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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability — Sunday 14 September 2025

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

The model shortlists 20 fixtures on Sunday 14 September 2025. Olympic Charleroi vs SK Beveren (SK Beveren or draw) led the list at 92% in the Challenger Pro League. The shortlist runs from 92% down to 77%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

The shortlist spans nine different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, twelve landed the double chance market — 60%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Challenger Pro League · Belgium SK Beveren or draw 92%
Olympic Charleroi
0 : 5 FT
SK Beveren
Win 8%
Draw 16%
✓ Win 76%
✓ Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS No 60% ✓ SK Beveren Clean Sheet 56%
#2 Jupiler Pro League · Belgium St. Truiden or draw 88%
St. Truiden
0 : 3 FT
KVC Westerlo
Win 69%
Draw 19%
Win 12%
✓ Over 2.5 70% BTTS Yes 62%
#3 K League 1 · South-Korea Gimcheon Sangmu FC or draw 88%
Gimcheon Sangmu FC
1 : 2 FT
Daegu FC
Win 71%
Draw 16%
Win 12%
✓ Over 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#4 Eredivisie · Netherlands Utrecht or draw 88%
Utrecht
0 : 1 FT
Groningen
Win 73%
Draw 15%
Win 12%
Over 2.5 76% BTTS Yes 64%
#5 Serie A · Italy AS Roma or draw 86%
AS Roma
0 : 1 FT
Torino
Win 63%
Draw 23%
Win 14%
✓ BTTS No 55%
#6 Super League · China Dalian Zhixing or draw 86%
Dalian Zhixing
2 : 1 FT
Sichuan Jiuniu
✓ Win 60%
Draw 26%
Win 14%
Under 2.5 55% BTTS No 56%
#7 Ligue 1 · France Stade Brestois 29 or draw 85%
Stade Brestois 29
1 : 2 FT
Paris FC
Win 67%
Draw 17%
Win 15%
✓ Over 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
#8 Ekstraklasa · Poland Widzew Łódź or draw 84%
Widzew Łódź
2 : 0 FT
Arka Gdynia
✓ Win 56%
Draw 27%
Win 16%
✓ Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 63%
#9 Super League · China Tianjin Teda or draw 83%
Tianjin Teda
4 : 0 FT
Wuhan Three Towns
✓ Win 56%
Draw 27%
Win 17%
Under 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS No 54%
#10 Czech Liga · Czech-Republic FK Jablonec or draw 82%
FK Jablonec
3 : 2 FT
Pardubice
✓ Win 58%
Draw 24%
Win 18%
#11 Premier League · Russia CSKA Moscow or draw 81%
FC Rostov
1 : 0 FT
CSKA Moscow
Win 19%
Draw 31%
Win 50%
✓ Under 2.5 56%
#12 Serie A · Brazil RB Bragantino or draw 79%
RB Bragantino
1 : 1 FT
Sport Recife
Win 56%
Draw 23%
Win 21%
Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 53%
#13 Jupiler Pro League · Belgium Antwerp or draw 79%
Antwerp
1 : 2 FT
Gent
Win 52%
Draw 27%
Win 21%
✓ BTTS Yes 55%
#14 Premier League · Ukraine Karpaty or draw 78%
Karpaty
1 : 1 FT
SK Poltava
Win 56%
Draw 22%
Win 22%
Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
#15 Premier League · Russia Krylia Sovetov or draw 78%
Krylia Sovetov
2 : 0 FT
FC Sochi
✓ Win 53%
Draw 25%
Win 22%
Over 2.5 64% BTTS Yes 64%
#16 Super League 1 · Greece Asteras Tripolis or draw 77%
Asteras Tripolis
2 : 2 FT
Larisa
Win 49%
Draw 29%
Win 23%
Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 60%
#17 2. Bundesliga · Germany SV Elversberg or draw 77%
SV Elversberg
2 : 2 FT
Dynamo Dresden
Win 54%
Draw 23%
Win 23%
✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#18 Superettan · Sweden Kalmar FF or draw 77%
Kalmar FF
2 : 1 FT
Vasteras SK FK
✓ Win 52%
Draw 25%
Win 23%
✓ Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#19 Süper Lig · Turkey Gaziantep FK or draw 77%
Gaziantep FK
2 : 0 FT
Kocaelispor
✓ Win 48%
Draw 28%
Win 23%
#20 Super League · Switzerland FC Luzern or draw 77%
FC Luzern
1 : 2 FT
BSC Young Boys
Win 52%
Draw 25%
Win 23%
✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%

Showing top 20 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Double Chance — common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Sunday 14 September 2025?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Olympic Charleroi vs SK Beveren (SK Beveren or draw) at 92% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.