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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability β€” Sunday 17 August 2025

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

16 matches cleared our threshold on Sunday 17 August 2025. Universidad de Chile vs A. Italiano (Universidad de Chile or draw) led the list at 90% in the Primera División. The shortlist runs from 90% down to 76%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

Primera División supplies three of the top 10, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Of the 16 fixtures on this list that have since finished, ten landed the double chance market — 62%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Primera División Β· Chile Universidad de Chile or draw 90%
Universidad de Chile
1 : 3 FT
A. Italiano
Win 74%
Draw 16%
Win 10%
✓ Over 2.5 65%
#2 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium St. Truiden or draw 89%
St. Truiden
2 : 1 FT
RAAL La Louvière
βœ“ Win 64%
Draw 25%
Win 11%
BTTS No 56%
#3 Premier League Β· Russia FC Krasnodar or draw 87%
FC Krasnodar
5 : 1 FT
FC Sochi
βœ“ Win 62%
Draw 25%
Win 13%
BTTS No 53%
#4 Veikkausliiga Β· Finland HJK Helsinki or draw 87%
Haka
1 : 2 FT
HJK Helsinki
Win 13%
Draw 19%
βœ“ Win 68%
✓ Over 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
#5 Primera División Β· Chile Coquimbo Unido or draw 83%
Coquimbo Unido
2 : 1 FT
Everton de Vina
βœ“ Win 59%
Draw 24%
Win 17%
Under 2.5 55% BTTS No 56%
#6 Serie A Β· Brazil Atletico-MG or draw 82%
Atletico-MG
1 : 3 FT
Gremio
Win 57%
Draw 25%
Win 18%
Under 2.5 58% BTTS No 57%
#7 Primera División Β· Chile Huachipato or draw 81%
Huachipato
4 : 0 FT
Deportes Limache
βœ“ Win 58%
Draw 23%
Win 19%
#8 Thai League 1 Β· Thailand Port FC or draw 81%
Port FC
3 : 1 FT
Ayutthaya FC
βœ“ Win 55%
Draw 26%
Win 19%
✓ Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
#9 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland Pogon Szczecin or draw 81%
Pogon Szczecin
0 : 3 FT
Gornik Zabrze
Win 57%
Draw 24%
Win 19%
✓ Over 2.5 53%
#10 Thai League 1 Β· Thailand Bangkok United or draw 80%
Bangkok United
3 : 2 FT
Rayong FC
βœ“ Win 55%
Draw 25%
Win 20%
✓ Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
#11 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands Emmen or draw 80%
Emmen
1 : 4 FT
Almere City FC
Win 58%
Draw 21%
Win 20%
✓ Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#12 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland Radomiak Radom or draw 79%
Radomiak Radom
1 : 2 FT
Jagiellonia
Win 57%
Draw 22%
Win 21%
✓ Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
#13 Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic Karviná or draw 78%
Karviná
1 : 2 FT
Bohemians 1905
Win 51%
Draw 27%
Win 22%
Under 2.5 57% BTTS No 54%
#14 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden IFK Goteborg or draw 76%
IFK Goteborg
2 : 1 FT
AIK Stockholm
βœ“ Win 49%
Draw 27%
Win 24%
Under 2.5 56%
#15 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden Mjallby AIF or draw 76%
Mjallby AIF
1 : 1 FT
Djurgardens IF
Win 46%
Draw 29%
Win 24%
✓ Under 2.5 64% BTTS No 58%
#16 Thai League 1 Β· Thailand Uthai Thani or draw 76%
Uthai Thani
1 : 1 FT
Chiangrai United
Win 49%
Draw 26%
Win 24%
Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%

Showing top 16 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Double Chance β€” common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Sunday 17 August 2025?

16 fixtures met the criteria, led by Universidad de Chile vs A. Italiano (Universidad de Chile or draw) at 90% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.