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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability β€” Sunday 25 May 2025

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

20 matches cleared our threshold on Sunday 25 May 2025. The strongest reading belongs to U. Catolica vs D. La Serena (U. Catolica or draw) at 93% in the Primera División. The shortlist runs from 93% down to 78%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Premier League supplies three of the top 10, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, twelve landed the double chance market — 60%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Primera División Β· Chile U. Catolica or draw 93%
U. Catolica
1 : 3 FT
D. La Serena
Win 80%
Draw 13%
Win 7%
✓ Over 2.5 67%
#2 Premier League Β· England Arsenal or draw 92%
Southampton
1 : 2 FT
Arsenal
Win 8%
Draw 16%
βœ“ Win 77%
✓ Over 2.5 58% BTTS No 58% Arsenal Clean Sheet 53%
#3 Serie A Β· Brazil Vitoria or draw 86%
Vitoria
0 : 1 FT
Santos
Win 55%
Draw 31%
Win 14%
✓ Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 61%
#4 Premier League Β· Ukraine Karpaty or draw 85%
Karpaty
1 : 3 FT
Zorya Luhansk
Win 60%
Draw 25%
Win 15%
#5 Süper Lig Β· Turkey Başakşehir or draw 85%
Başakşehir
2 : 3 FT
Adana Demirspor
Win 68%
Draw 17%
Win 15%
✓ Over 2.5 73% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%
#6 Premier League Β· England West Ham or draw 85%
Ipswich
1 : 3 FT
West Ham
Win 15%
Draw 21%
βœ“ Win 64%
✓ Over 2.5 55%
#7 Serie A Β· Brazil Atletico-MG or draw 84%
Atletico-MG
0 : 0 FT
Corinthians
Win 59%
Draw 25%
Win 16%
Over 2.5 53%
#8 Veikkausliiga Β· Finland KuPS or draw 83%
KuPS
0 : 2 FT
VPS
Win 63%
Draw 20%
Win 17%
Over 2.5 58% BTTS Yes 54%
#9 Süper Lig Β· Turkey Beşiktaş or draw 82%
Beşiktaş
1 : 2 FT
Rizespor
Win 61%
Draw 21%
Win 18%
✓ Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#10 Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic Teplice or draw 82%
Teplice
3 : 0 FT
Pardubice
βœ“ Win 57%
Draw 25%
Win 18%
Under 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS No 57%
#11 Süper Lig Β· Turkey Kayserispor or draw 82%
Kayserispor
1 : 1 FT
Bodrum FK
Win 53%
Draw 29%
Win 18%
✓ Under 2.5 68% BTTS No 65%
#12 Serie A Β· Italy Atalanta or draw 81%
Atalanta
2 : 3 FT
Parma
Win 54%
Draw 27%
Win 19%
Under 2.5 59% BTTS No 56%
#13 Premier League Β· England Liverpool or draw 80%
Liverpool
1 : 1 FT
Crystal Palace
Win 61%
Draw 20%
Win 20%
Over 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
#14 Serie B Β· Italy Cremonese or draw 80%
Cremonese
3 : 0 FT
Juve Stabia
βœ“ Win 53%
Draw 27%
Win 20%
Under 2.5 53%
#15 Premier League Β· England Bournemouth or draw 80%
Bournemouth
2 : 0 FT
Leicester
βœ“ Win 55%
Draw 25%
Win 20%
✓ Under 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS No 55%
#16 Premier League Β· England Newcastle or draw 80%
Newcastle
0 : 1 FT
Everton
Win 55%
Draw 24%
Win 20%
#17 Eliteserien Β· Norway Brann or draw 79%
Haugesund
0 : 2 FT
Brann
Win 21%
Draw 21%
βœ“ Win 59%
Over 2.5 64% BTTS Yes 61%
#18 Eliteserien Β· Norway Viking or draw 79%
Kristiansund BK
0 : 1 FT
Viking
Win 21%
Draw 22%
βœ“ Win 57%
Over 2.5 65% BTTS Yes 63%
#19 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium Union St. Gilloise or draw 79%
Union St. Gilloise
3 : 1 FT
Gent
βœ“ Win 48%
Draw 31%
Win 21%
Under 2.5 58%
#20 Canadian Premier League Β· Canada Cavalry FC or draw 78%
Cavalry FC
4 : 0 FT
Valour
βœ“ Win 58%
Draw 21%
Win 22%
✓ Over 2.5 66% BTTS Yes 63%

Showing top 20 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Double Chance β€” common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Sunday 25 May 2025?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by U. Catolica vs D. La Serena (U. Catolica or draw) at 93% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.