Double Chance Predictions
Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability — Friday 9 May 2025
Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.
18 fixtures cleared the bar on Friday 9 May 2025. The strongest reading belongs to Sassuolo vs Catanzaro (Sassuolo or draw) at 87% in the Serie B. The shortlist runs from 87% down to 75%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.
Serie B supplies three of the top 10, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.
Of the 18 fixtures on this list that have since finished, eleven landed the double chance market — 61%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.
Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.
Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Serie B · Italy
Sassuolo or draw
87%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Cambuur or draw
86%
Premier League · Ukraine
Shakhtar Donetsk or draw
84%
Serie B · Italy
Sampdoria or draw
83%
Super League · China
SHANGHAI SIPG or draw
81%
Premier League · Ukraine
Dynamo Kyiv or draw
81%
Bundesliga · Austria
Sturm Graz or draw
81%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Jong PSV U21 or draw
80%
Serie B · Italy
Mantova or draw
80%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Dordrecht or draw
80%
Championship · England
Coventry or draw
80%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Telstar or draw
79%
Süper Lig · Turkey
Gaziantep FK or draw
78%
Premier Division · Ireland
Galway United or draw
78%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Helmond Sport or draw
78%
Serie B · Italy
Juve Stabia or draw
77%
Serie B · Italy
Bari or draw
76%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Jong Ajax or draw
75%
Showing top 18 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.
Related markets
Double Chance — common questions
What does the Double Chance market mean?
Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.
How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?
Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.
How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Friday 9 May 2025?
18 fixtures met the criteria, led by Sassuolo vs Catanzaro (Sassuolo or draw) at 87% double chance probability.
Which fixtures appear on this page?
Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.
How accurate are these double chance predictions?
Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.
Are these predictions betting tips?
No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.