Double Chance Predictions
Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability — Saturday 3 May 2025
Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.
20 fixtures cleared the bar on Saturday 3 May 2025. The strongest reading belongs to 1. FC Köln vs SSV Jahn Regensburg (1. FC Köln or draw) at 95% in the 2. Bundesliga. The shortlist runs from 95% down to 82%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.
Premier League supplies three of the top 10, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.
Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 18 landed the double chance market — 90%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.
Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.
Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
2. Bundesliga · Germany
1. FC Köln or draw
95%
La Liga · Spain
Barcelona or draw
93%
Süper Lig · Turkey
Galatasaray or draw
89%
Premier League · Russia
FC Krasnodar or draw
88%
Eredivisie · Netherlands
NEC Nijmegen or draw
88%
Ekstraklasa · Poland
Lech Poznan or draw
88%
Premier League · Russia
Lokomotiv or draw
88%
Serie A · Brazil
Fluminense or draw
86%
Serie A · Italy
Napoli or draw
86%
Premier League · Ukraine
Veres Rivne or draw
86%
League Two · England
Bradford or draw
86%
Premier League · Ukraine
Dynamo Kyiv or draw
85%
League One · England
Charlton or draw
84%
League One · England
Blackpool or draw
84%
Championship · England
Burnley or draw
84%
Primeira Liga · Portugal
Benfica or draw
84%
Eredivisie · Netherlands
PSV Eindhoven or draw
83%
Championship · England
Swansea or draw
83%
League Two · England
Port Vale or draw
82%
Premier League · Ukraine
Shakhtar Donetsk or draw
82%
Showing top 20 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.
Related markets
Double Chance — common questions
What does the Double Chance market mean?
Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.
How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?
Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.
How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Saturday 3 May 2025?
20 fixtures met the criteria, led by 1. FC Köln vs SSV Jahn Regensburg (1. FC Köln or draw) at 95% double chance probability.
Which fixtures appear on this page?
Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.
How accurate are these double chance predictions?
Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.
Are these predictions betting tips?
No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.