Double Chance Predictions
Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability — Friday 2 May 2025
Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.
19 matches cleared our threshold on Friday 2 May 2025. MVV vs Jong Ajax (MVV or draw) led the list at 86% in the Eerste Divisie. The shortlist runs from 86% down to 75%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.
Eerste Divisie supplies five of the top 10, making it the dominant competition on this list.
Of the 19 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 16 landed the double chance market — 84%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.
Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.
Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
MVV or draw
86%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
FC Volendam or draw
86%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Excelsior or draw
85%
Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Al-Qadisiyah FC or draw
84%
Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
KVC Westerlo or draw
83%
Serie A · Italy
Torino or draw
82%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
De Graafschap or draw
81%
Ligue 2 · France
Dunkerque or draw
81%
2. Bundesliga · Germany
1. FC Magdeburg or draw
81%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Den Bosch or draw
80%
Ligue 2 · France
Guingamp or draw
80%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Jong AZ or draw
79%
Primeira Liga · Portugal
FC Porto or draw
78%
Premier Division · Ireland
Bohemians or draw
78%
La Liga · Spain
Getafe or draw
78%
Premier League · England
Manchester City or draw
77%
Ligue 1 · France
Nice or draw
77%
Veikkausliiga · Finland
AC Oulu or draw
76%
Veikkausliiga · Finland
KuPS or draw
75%
Showing top 19 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.
Related markets
Double Chance — common questions
What does the Double Chance market mean?
Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.
How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?
Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.
How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Friday 2 May 2025?
19 fixtures met the criteria, led by MVV vs Jong Ajax (MVV or draw) at 86% double chance probability.
Which fixtures appear on this page?
Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.
How accurate are these double chance predictions?
Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.
Are these predictions betting tips?
No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.