Double Chance Predictions
Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability — Sunday 4 May 2025
Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.
The model shortlists 20 fixtures on Sunday 4 May 2025. Zenit vs Nizhny Novgorod (Zenit or draw) sits top on 94% in the Premier League. The shortlist runs from 94% down to 79%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.
The shortlist spans eight different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.
Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 17 landed the double chance market — 85%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.
Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.
Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Premier League · Russia
Zenit or draw
94%
Serie A · Italy
Atalanta or draw
91%
Primera División · Chile
A. Italiano or draw
91%
Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
St. Truiden or draw
87%
Ligue 1 · France
Stade Brestois 29 or draw
86%
Premier League · Russia
Spartak Moscow or draw
84%
Super League 1 · Greece
AEK Athens FC or draw
83%
Eliteserien · Norway
Molde or draw
82%
Ligue 1 · France
Lille or draw
82%
Super League · Switzerland
FC Luzern or draw
81%
Serie A · Italy
Bologna or draw
81%
Serie A · Italy
Lazio or draw
81%
Serie A · Brazil
Gremio or draw
81%
Allsvenskan · Sweden
Mjallby AIF or draw
81%
Eliteserien · Norway
Rosenborg or draw
80%
Serie B · Italy
Sudtirol or draw
79%
Primeira Liga · Portugal
Sporting CP or draw
79%
2. Bundesliga · Germany
Karlsruher SC or draw
79%
Czech Liga · Czech-Republic
Slovan Liberec or draw
79%
Superettan · Sweden
Orgryte IS or draw
79%
Showing top 20 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.
Related markets
Double Chance — common questions
What does the Double Chance market mean?
Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.
How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?
Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.
How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Sunday 4 May 2025?
20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Zenit vs Nizhny Novgorod (Zenit or draw) at 94% double chance probability.
Which fixtures appear on this page?
Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.
How accurate are these double chance predictions?
Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.
Are these predictions betting tips?
No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.