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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability β€” Friday 28 March 2025

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

14 fixtures cleared the bar on Friday 28 March 2025. The strongest reading belongs to Telstar vs Vitesse (Telstar or draw) at 91% in the Eerste Divisie. The shortlist runs from 91% down to 75%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

The shortlist spans eight different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.

Of the 14 fixtures on this list that have since finished, eleven landed the double chance market — 79%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands Telstar or draw 91%
Telstar
1 : 0 FT
Vitesse
βœ“ Win 78%
Draw 12%
Win 9%
Over 2.5 81% BTTS Yes 65%
#2 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands Excelsior or draw 87%
Excelsior
3 : 0 FT
Jong Utrecht
βœ“ Win 67%
Draw 20%
Win 13%
✓ Over 2.5 55%
#3 Thai League 1 Β· Thailand Ratchaburi or draw 83%
Ratchaburi
3 : 2 FT
Prachuap
βœ“ Win 62%
Draw 21%
Win 17%
✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 53%
#4 Süper Lig Β· Turkey Fenerbahçe or draw 82%
Bodrum FK
2 : 4 FT
Fenerbahçe
Win 18%
Draw 32%
βœ“ Win 50%
Under 2.5 72% BTTS No 67% Fenerbahçe Clean Sheet 54%
#5 Bundesliga Β· Germany Bayer Leverkusen or draw 82%
Bayer Leverkusen
3 : 1 FT
VfL Bochum
βœ“ Win 60%
Draw 22%
Win 18%
✓ Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
#6 Serie B Β· Italy Spezia or draw 81%
Spezia
0 : 1 FT
Brescia
Win 52%
Draw 29%
Win 19%
✓ Under 2.5 55%
#7 Pro League Β· United-Arab-Emirates Al-Wasl FC or draw 78%
Al-Wasl FC
2 : 0 FT
Ajman
βœ“ Win 55%
Draw 23%
Win 22%
Over 2.5 55% BTTS Yes 55%
#8 Ligue 2 Β· France Bastia or draw 78%
Bastia
2 : 0 FT
Dunkerque
βœ“ Win 52%
Draw 26%
Win 22%
✓ Under 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS No 53%
#9 Premier Division Β· Ireland Shamrock Rovers or draw 78%
Shamrock Rovers
0 : 0 FT
Derry City
Win 46%
Draw 31%
Win 22%
✓ Under 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS No 61%
#10 Süper Lig Β· Turkey Antalyaspor or draw 77%
Antalyaspor
2 : 1 FT
Alanyaspor
βœ“ Win 49%
Draw 29%
Win 23%
Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 56%
#11 Premier League Β· Ukraine LNZ Cherkasy or draw 77%
LNZ Cherkasy
0 : 1 FT
Polessya
Win 51%
Draw 26%
Win 23%
✓ Under 2.5 56%
#12 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands Cambuur or draw 76%
Cambuur
3 : 2 FT
De Graafschap
βœ“ Win 49%
Draw 27%
Win 24%
Under 2.5 58% BTTS No 54%
#13 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium OH Leuven or draw 76%
OH Leuven
0 : 0 FT
Charleroi
Win 45%
Draw 31%
Win 24%
✓ Under 2.5 57%
#14 Super League Β· China Sichuan Jiuniu or draw 75%
Sichuan Jiuniu
3 : 4 FT
Yunnan Yukun
Win 50%
Draw 25%
Win 25%
✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%

Showing top 14 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Double Chance β€” common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Friday 28 March 2025?

14 fixtures met the criteria, led by Telstar vs Vitesse (Telstar or draw) at 91% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.