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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability β€” Friday 7 March 2025

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

19 fixtures cleared the bar on Friday 7 March 2025. The strongest reading belongs to Norwich vs Oxford United (Norwich or draw) at 89% in the Championship. The shortlist runs from 89% down to 75%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

Eerste Divisie supplies four of the top 10, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Of the 19 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 19 landed the double chance market — 100%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Championship Β· England Norwich or draw 89%
Norwich
1 : 1 FT
Oxford United
Win 69%
Draw 20%
Win 11%
Over 2.5 54% BTTS No 54%
#2 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia Al-Ahli Jeddah or draw 87%
Al-Ahli Jeddah
2 : 2 FT
Al Khaleej Saihat
Win 71%
Draw 16%
Win 13%
✓ Over 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
#3 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium St. Truiden or draw 86%
St. Truiden
2 : 0 FT
Beerschot VA
βœ“ Win 61%
Draw 24%
Win 14%
Over 2.5 62% BTTS Yes 59%
#4 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands Jong AZ or draw 83%
Jong AZ
5 : 1 FT
Jong Utrecht
βœ“ Win 64%
Draw 20%
Win 17%
✓ Over 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
#5 Ligue 2 Β· France Guingamp or draw 82%
Guingamp
3 : 1 FT
Clermont Foot
βœ“ Win 59%
Draw 23%
Win 18%
BTTS No 53%
#6 Ligue 2 Β· France Bastia or draw 82%
Bastia
1 : 0 FT
Martigues
βœ“ Win 55%
Draw 28%
Win 18%
✓ Under 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS No 63%
#7 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands Helmond Sport or draw 81%
Helmond Sport
4 : 0 FT
MVV
βœ“ Win 54%
Draw 27%
Win 19%
Under 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS No 54%
#8 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands Roda or draw 80%
Roda
2 : 1 FT
Jong PSV U21
βœ“ Win 54%
Draw 26%
Win 20%
#9 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands FC Volendam or draw 80%
FC OSS
0 : 2 FT
FC Volendam
Win 20%
Draw 23%
βœ“ Win 57%
Over 2.5 59% BTTS Yes 58%
#10 Primera División Β· Chile Union La Calera or draw 80%
Union La Calera
1 : 0 FT
Huachipato
βœ“ Win 56%
Draw 23%
Win 20%
#11 Challenger Pro League Β· Belgium Club Brugge II or draw 80%
Seraing United
2 : 3 FT
Club Brugge II
Win 20%
Draw 22%
βœ“ Win 57%
✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 55%
#12 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands De Graafschap or draw 79%
De Graafschap
2 : 1 FT
Excelsior
βœ“ Win 57%
Draw 22%
Win 21%
✓ Over 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
#13 Premier League Β· Russia FC Krasnodar or draw 79%
Nizhny Novgorod
0 : 3 FT
FC Krasnodar
Win 21%
Draw 32%
βœ“ Win 47%
BTTS Yes 56%
#14 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal Estrela or draw 77%
Estrela
1 : 1 FT
GIL Vicente
Win 49%
Draw 28%
Win 23%
✓ Under 2.5 59% BTTS No 55%
#15 Ligue 2 Β· France Grenoble or draw 77%
Grenoble
2 : 2 FT
Ajaccio
Win 46%
Draw 31%
Win 23%
Under 2.5 70% BTTS No 64%
#16 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands ADO Den Haag or draw 77%
Emmen
0 : 1 FT
ADO Den Haag
Win 23%
Draw 22%
βœ“ Win 54%
Over 2.5 66% BTTS Yes 65%
#17 Premier League Β· Ukraine Zorya Luhansk or draw 76%
Zorya Luhansk
2 : 1 FT
Obolon'-Brovar
βœ“ Win 48%
Draw 28%
Win 24%
Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 58%
#18 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia Al-Nassr or draw 76%
Al-Nassr
2 : 2 FT
Al Shabab
Win 54%
Draw 21%
Win 24%
✓ Over 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%
#19 Premier Division Β· Ireland Cork City or draw 75%
Cork City
1 : 1 FT
Sligo Rovers
Win 53%
Draw 22%
Win 25%
Over 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS Yes 69%

Showing top 19 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Double Chance β€” common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Friday 7 March 2025?

19 fixtures met the criteria, led by Norwich vs Oxford United (Norwich or draw) at 89% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.