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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability β€” Sunday 20 October 2024

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

20 fixtures cleared the bar on Sunday 20 October 2024. The strongest reading belongs to Ratchaburi vs Chiangrai United (Ratchaburi or draw) at 92% in the Thai League 1. The shortlist runs from 92% down to 80%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

The shortlist spans seven different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 17 landed the double chance market — 85%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Thai League 1 Β· Thailand Ratchaburi or draw 92%
Ratchaburi
1 : 0 FT
Chiangrai United
βœ“ Win 74%
Draw 18%
Win 8%
Over 2.5 67% BTTS Yes 54%
#2 Primera División Β· Chile Deportes Iquique or draw 90%
Deportes Iquique
4 : 1 FT
Cobreloa
βœ“ Win 75%
Draw 15%
Win 10%
✓ Over 2.5 66%
#3 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium KV Mechelen or draw 89%
KV Mechelen
3 : 0 FT
Kortrijk
βœ“ Win 69%
Draw 19%
Win 11%
✓ Over 2.5 74% BTTS Yes 65%
#4 La Liga Β· Spain Atletico Madrid or draw 87%
Atletico Madrid
3 : 1 FT
Leganes
βœ“ Win 57%
Draw 29%
Win 13%
Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 61%
#5 La Liga Β· Spain Barcelona or draw 87%
Barcelona
5 : 1 FT
Sevilla
βœ“ Win 62%
Draw 25%
Win 13%
✓ Over 2.5 53%
#6 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands PEC Zwolle or draw 86%
PEC Zwolle
1 : 2 FT
NAC Breda
Win 64%
Draw 22%
Win 14%
✓ Over 2.5 56%
#7 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium Genk or draw 86%
Genk
3 : 2 FT
St. Truiden
βœ“ Win 60%
Draw 26%
Win 14%
✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 55%
#8 Premier League Β· England Manchester City or draw 86%
Wolves
1 : 2 FT
Manchester City
Win 14%
Draw 21%
βœ“ Win 65%
✓ Over 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
#9 Super League 1 Β· Greece Aris Thessalonikis or draw 85%
Aris Thessalonikis
2 : 0 FT
Kallithea
βœ“ Win 53%
Draw 32%
Win 15%
✓ Under 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS No 61%
#10 Thai League 1 Β· Thailand Bangkok United or draw 84%
Bangkok United
4 : 1 FT
Sukhothai FC
βœ“ Win 60%
Draw 24%
Win 16%
✓ Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
#11 Eliteserien Β· Norway Viking or draw 84%
Viking
3 : 3 FT
ODD Ballklubb
Win 61%
Draw 23%
Win 16%
Under 2.5 55% BTTS No 56%
#12 Super League 1 Β· Greece Olympiakos Piraeus or draw 84%
Olympiakos Piraeus
2 : 2 FT
Levadiakos
Win 51%
Draw 32%
Win 16%
Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 55%
#13 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland Raków Częstochowa or draw 84%
Raków Częstochowa
1 : 0 FT
Pogon Szczecin
βœ“ Win 62%
Draw 22%
Win 16%
#14 Premier League Β· Ukraine LNZ Cherkasy or draw 83%
LNZ Cherkasy
2 : 0 FT
Inhulets
βœ“ Win 57%
Draw 26%
Win 17%
✓ Under 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS No 55%
#15 Eliteserien Β· Norway Fredrikstad or draw 81%
Fredrikstad
2 : 1 FT
Lillestrom
βœ“ Win 59%
Draw 22%
Win 19%
✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#16 Primera División Β· Chile A. Italiano or draw 81%
A. Italiano
0 : 2 FT
Huachipato
Win 58%
Draw 23%
Win 19%
#17 Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic Karviná or draw 80%
Karviná
4 : 1 FT
České Budějovice
βœ“ Win 48%
Draw 32%
Win 20%
Under 2.5 64% BTTS No 58%
#18 Serie A Β· Italy Torino or draw 80%
Cagliari
3 : 2 FT
Torino
Win 20%
Draw 27%
Win 53%
✓ Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
#19 Super League Β· Switzerland Lausanne or draw 80%
Lausanne
2 : 0 FT
FC Winterthur
βœ“ Win 61%
Draw 19%
Win 20%
Over 2.5 71% BTTS Yes 66%
#20 Süper Lig Β· Turkey Fenerbahçe or draw 80%
Samsunspor
2 : 2 FT
Fenerbahçe
Win 20%
Draw 24%
Win 56%
✓ Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%

Showing top 20 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Double Chance β€” common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Sunday 20 October 2024?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Ratchaburi vs Chiangrai United (Ratchaburi or draw) at 92% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.