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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability β€” Saturday 19 October 2024

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

20 fixtures cleared the bar on Saturday 19 October 2024. The strongest reading belongs to SSV Jahn Regensburg vs Fortuna Düsseldorf (Fortuna Düsseldorf or draw) at 93% in the 2. Bundesliga. The shortlist runs from 93% down to 83%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

The shortlist spans nine different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 17 landed the double chance market — 85%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany Fortuna Düsseldorf or draw 93%
SSV Jahn Regensburg
0 : 3 FT
Fortuna Düsseldorf
Win 7%
Draw 21%
βœ“ Win 72%
✓ BTTS No 60% ✓ Fortuna Düsseldorf Clean Sheet 56%
#2 Super League Β· China Beijing Guoan or draw 91%
Beijing Guoan
6 : 0 FT
Qingdao Jonoon
βœ“ Win 78%
Draw 13%
Win 9%
✓ Over 2.5 72% BTTS Yes 55%
#3 Bundesliga Β· Austria Sturm Graz or draw 88%
Sturm Graz
5 : 2 FT
Grazer AK
βœ“ Win 73%
Draw 15%
Win 12%
✓ Over 2.5 74% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
#4 Ligue 2 Β· France Amiens or draw 88%
Amiens
3 : 1 FT
Ajaccio
βœ“ Win 64%
Draw 24%
Win 12%
Under 2.5 64% BTTS No 67% Amiens Clean Sheet 58%
#5 Eliteserien Β· Norway Molde or draw 88%
Molde
0 : 1 FT
Sandefjord
Win 74%
Draw 14%
Win 12%
Over 2.5 81% BTTS Yes 68%
#6 La Liga Β· Spain Athletic Club or draw 87%
Athletic Club
4 : 1 FT
Espanyol
βœ“ Win 57%
Draw 31%
Win 12%
Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 61% Athletic Club Clean Sheet 53%
#7 Premier League Β· Russia Lokomotiv or draw 87%
Khimki
2 : 0 FT
Lokomotiv
Win 13%
Draw 24%
Win 63%
Over 2.5 54%
#8 Premier League Β· Ukraine Dynamo Kyiv or draw 86%
Obolon'-Brovar
1 : 5 FT
Dynamo Kyiv
Win 14%
Draw 22%
βœ“ Win 64%
#9 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia Al-Ittihad FC or draw 86%
Al-Ittihad FC
3 : 1 FT
Al-Qadisiyah FC
βœ“ Win 68%
Draw 18%
Win 14%
✓ Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#10 Serie A Β· Brazil Botafogo or draw 86%
Botafogo
1 : 1 FT
Criciuma
Win 64%
Draw 22%
Win 14%
BTTS No 54%
#11 Serie A Β· Italy AC Milan or draw 86%
AC Milan
1 : 0 FT
Udinese
βœ“ Win 61%
Draw 24%
Win 14%
Over 2.5 65% BTTS Yes 62%
#12 Bundesliga Β· Austria Red Bull Salzburg or draw 85%
Red Bull Salzburg
2 : 1 FT
SCR Altach
βœ“ Win 65%
Draw 20%
Win 15%
✓ Over 2.5 55%
#13 Veikkausliiga Β· Finland Lahti or draw 85%
Lahti
0 : 0 FT
EIF
Win 64%
Draw 20%
Win 15%
Over 2.5 62% BTTS Yes 57%
#14 Championship Β· England Millwall or draw 84%
Millwall
1 : 1 FT
Derby
Win 61%
Draw 23%
Win 16%
#15 Ligue 1 Β· France Paris Saint Germain or draw 84%
Paris Saint Germain
4 : 2 FT
Strasbourg
βœ“ Win 64%
Draw 20%
Win 16%
✓ Over 2.5 78% ✓ BTTS Yes 72%
#16 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany Hannover 96 or draw 84%
Hannover 96
1 : 0 FT
FC Schalke 04
βœ“ Win 59%
Draw 25%
Win 16%
Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 56%
#17 Super League 1 Β· Greece Asteras Tripolis or draw 84%
Lamia
0 : 0 FT
Asteras Tripolis
Win 16%
Draw 30%
Win 55%
✓ Under 2.5 55%
#18 Thai League 1 Β· Thailand Lamphun Warrior or draw 84%
Lamphun Warrior
0 : 1 FT
Khon Kaen United
Win 56%
Draw 28%
Win 16%
BTTS Yes 53%
#19 Premier League Β· Russia CSKA Moscow or draw 84%
Dinamo Makhachkala
0 : 1 FT
CSKA Moscow
Win 16%
Draw 32%
βœ“ Win 52%
✓ Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 60%
#20 League One Β· England Reading or draw 83%
Reading
4 : 1 FT
Crawley Town
βœ“ Win 58%
Draw 26%
Win 17%
Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 61%

Showing top 20 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Double Chance β€” common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Saturday 19 October 2024?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by SSV Jahn Regensburg vs Fortuna Düsseldorf (Fortuna Düsseldorf or draw) at 93% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.