Double Chance Predictions
Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability — Friday 4 October 2024
Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.
The model shortlists 17 fixtures on Friday 4 October 2024. KVC Westerlo vs Beerschot VA (KVC Westerlo or draw) led the list at 92% in the Jupiler Pro League. The shortlist runs from 92% down to 77%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.
The shortlist spans seven different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.
Of the 17 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 14 landed the double chance market — 82%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.
Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.
Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
KVC Westerlo or draw
92%
2. Bundesliga · Germany
SC Paderborn 07 or draw
92%
Serie A · Italy
Napoli or draw
87%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Telstar or draw
86%
Ligue 1 · France
Marseille or draw
86%
2. Bundesliga · Germany
Karlsruher SC or draw
85%
Ekstraklasa · Poland
Widzew Łódź or draw
85%
Serie A · Italy
Hellas Verona or draw
84%
Ekstraklasa · Poland
Puszcza Niepołomice or draw
83%
Serie B · Italy
Sampdoria or draw
81%
Ligue 2 · France
Dunkerque or draw
79%
Primera División · Chile
Colo Colo or draw
79%
Premier League · Ukraine
Chornomorets or draw
79%
La Liga · Spain
Leganes or draw
78%
Premier Division · Ireland
Galway United or draw
78%
Eredivisie · Netherlands
Willem II or draw
77%
Premier League · Ukraine
Karpaty or draw
77%
Showing top 17 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.
Related markets
Double Chance — common questions
What does the Double Chance market mean?
Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.
How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?
Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.
How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Friday 4 October 2024?
17 fixtures met the criteria, led by KVC Westerlo vs Beerschot VA (KVC Westerlo or draw) at 92% double chance probability.
Which fixtures appear on this page?
Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.
How accurate are these double chance predictions?
Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.
Are these predictions betting tips?
No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.