Sign in Register
🛡️

Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability β€” Sunday 6 October 2024

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

20 matches cleared our threshold on Sunday 6 October 2024. The strongest reading belongs to Antwerp vs Cercle Brugge (Antwerp or draw) at 92% in the Jupiler Pro League. The shortlist runs from 92% down to 81%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

The shortlist spans nine different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 19 landed the double chance market — 95%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium Antwerp or draw 92%
Antwerp
3 : 0 FT
Cercle Brugge
βœ“ Win 73%
Draw 20%
Win 8%
✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS No 56%
#2 Premier League Β· Russia FC Krasnodar or draw 90%
FC Krasnodar
4 : 0 FT
Khimki
βœ“ Win 67%
Draw 24%
Win 10%
Under 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS No 60% ✓ FC Krasnodar Clean Sheet 54%
#3 Super League 1 Β· Greece PAOK or draw 89%
Levadiakos
0 : 2 FT
PAOK
Win 11%
Draw 26%
βœ“ Win 64%
#4 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden Malmo FF or draw 89%
Malmo FF
1 : 1 FT
IFK Varnamo
Win 69%
Draw 21%
Win 11%
BTTS No 60% Malmo FF Clean Sheet 54%
#5 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands Ajax or draw 89%
Ajax
3 : 1 FT
Groningen
βœ“ Win 68%
Draw 21%
Win 11%
✓ Over 2.5 59%
#6 Pro League Β· United-Arab-Emirates Sharjah FC or draw 89%
Sharjah FC
2 : 1 FT
Al Urooba
βœ“ Win 72%
Draw 17%
Win 11%
✓ Over 2.5 64%
#7 Thai League 1 Β· Thailand Port FC or draw 88%
Port FC
2 : 0 FT
Nakhon Pathom
βœ“ Win 62%
Draw 25%
Win 12%
Over 2.5 55%
#8 Championship Β· England Bristol City or draw 85%
Bristol City
1 : 1 FT
Cardiff
Win 65%
Draw 21%
Win 15%
Over 2.5 57%
#9 Süper Lig Β· Turkey Samsunspor or draw 85%
Adana Demirspor
1 : 3 FT
Samsunspor
Win 15%
Draw 24%
βœ“ Win 60%
✓ Over 2.5 54%
#10 Süper Lig Β· Turkey Galatasaray or draw 84%
Galatasaray
1 : 0 FT
Alanyaspor
βœ“ Win 63%
Draw 20%
Win 16%
Over 2.5 71% BTTS Yes 66%
#11 Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic Plzen or draw 83%
Plzen
2 : 0 FT
Pardubice
βœ“ Win 61%
Draw 23%
Win 17%
Over 2.5 56% BTTS Yes 53%
#12 Primera División Β· Chile Palestino or draw 83%
Palestino
2 : 0 FT
Coquimbo Unido
βœ“ Win 62%
Draw 21%
Win 17%
Over 2.5 58% BTTS Yes 54%
#13 Ligue 1 Β· France Reims or draw 83%
Reims
4 : 2 FT
Montpellier
βœ“ Win 56%
Draw 27%
Win 17%
✓ Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 55%
#14 Serie A Β· Brazil Vasco DA Gama or draw 82%
Vasco DA Gama
1 : 1 FT
Juventude
Win 59%
Draw 23%
Win 18%
#15 Serie A Β· Italy Juventus or draw 82%
Juventus
1 : 1 FT
Cagliari
Win 48%
Draw 34%
Win 18%
✓ Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 56%
#16 Bundesliga Β· Germany VfB Stuttgart or draw 82%
VfB Stuttgart
1 : 1 FT
1899 Hoffenheim
Win 65%
Draw 17%
Win 18%
Over 2.5 83% ✓ BTTS Yes 75%
#17 Primera División Β· Chile Universidad de Chile or draw 81%
Universidad de Chile
1 : 0 FT
Union La Calera
βœ“ Win 52%
Draw 29%
Win 19%
✓ Under 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS No 66%
#18 Premier League Β· Russia Fakel or draw 81%
Fakel
1 : 1 FT
Dinamo Makhachkala
Win 35%
βœ“ Draw 46%
Win 19%
✓ Under 2.5 90% BTTS No 81% Fakel Clean Sheet 65%
#19 Veikkausliiga Β· Finland HJK Helsinki or draw 81%
HJK Helsinki
0 : 1 FT
Haka
Win 56%
Draw 25%
Win 19%
#20 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland Pogon Szczecin or draw 81%
Pogon Szczecin
1 : 0 FT
Piast Gliwice
βœ“ Win 56%
Draw 25%
Win 19%
✓ Under 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS No 55%

Showing top 20 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Double Chance β€” common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Sunday 6 October 2024?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Antwerp vs Cercle Brugge (Antwerp or draw) at 92% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.