Double Chance Predictions
Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability — Friday 13 September 2024
Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.
19 fixtures cleared the bar on Friday 13 September 2024. The strongest reading belongs to SHANGHAI SIPG vs Sichuan Jiuniu (SHANGHAI SIPG or draw) at 96% in the Super League. The shortlist runs from 96% down to 76%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.
The shortlist spans eight different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.
Of the 19 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 13 landed the double chance market — 68%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.
Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.
Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Super League · China
SHANGHAI SIPG or draw
96%
Veikkausliiga · Finland
Inter Turku or draw
93%
Super League · China
Shandong Luneng or draw
87%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Jong AZ or draw
86%
Eliteserien · Norway
Bodo/Glimt or draw
85%
Premier League · Ukraine
Oleksandria or draw
85%
Primeira Liga · Portugal
Sporting CP or draw
83%
Ligue 1 · France
Lille or draw
83%
Premier Division · Ireland
Shamrock Rovers or draw
82%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
MVV or draw
80%
2. Bundesliga · Germany
SC Paderborn 07 or draw
80%
Ligue 2 · France
Bastia or draw
80%
La Liga · Spain
Real Betis or draw
79%
2. Bundesliga · Germany
Karlsruher SC or draw
79%
Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
Dender or draw
78%
K League 1 · South-Korea
Ulsan Hyundai FC or draw
77%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
De Graafschap or draw
77%
Challenger Pro League · Belgium
Patro Eisden or draw
76%
Superettan · Sweden
Helsingborg or draw
76%
Showing top 19 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.
Related markets
Double Chance — common questions
What does the Double Chance market mean?
Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.
How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?
Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.
How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Friday 13 September 2024?
19 fixtures met the criteria, led by SHANGHAI SIPG vs Sichuan Jiuniu (SHANGHAI SIPG or draw) at 96% double chance probability.
Which fixtures appear on this page?
Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.
How accurate are these double chance predictions?
Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.
Are these predictions betting tips?
No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.