Double Chance Predictions
Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability — Sunday 15 September 2024
Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.
The model shortlists 20 fixtures on Sunday 15 September 2024. Celta Vigo vs Valladolid (Celta Vigo or draw) led the list at 95% in the La Liga. The shortlist runs from 95% down to 79%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.
The shortlist spans seven different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.
Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 17 landed the double chance market — 85%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.
Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.
Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
La Liga · Spain
Celta Vigo or draw
95%
Thai League 1 · Thailand
Prachuap or draw
93%
Thai League 1 · Thailand
Muangthong United or draw
93%
2. Bundesliga · Germany
Hamburger SV or draw
89%
Serie A · Brazil
Botafogo or draw
87%
Primeira Liga · Portugal
FC Porto or draw
87%
Serie A · Brazil
Palmeiras or draw
87%
Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
Charleroi or draw
84%
Ligue 1 · France
Rennes or draw
84%
La Liga · Spain
Atletico Madrid or draw
84%
Ligue 1 · France
Strasbourg or draw
84%
Serie A · Brazil
Cruzeiro or draw
83%
Primera División · Chile
A. Italiano or draw
82%
Ekstraklasa · Poland
Piast Gliwice or draw
82%
Thai League 1 · Thailand
Uthai Thani or draw
82%
Serie A · Italy
Torino or draw
81%
Eredivisie · Netherlands
Sparta Rotterdam or draw
81%
Primera División · Chile
Universidad de Chile or draw
80%
La Liga · Spain
Girona or draw
79%
Championship · England
West Brom or draw
79%
Showing top 20 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.
Related markets
Double Chance — common questions
What does the Double Chance market mean?
Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.
How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?
Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.
How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Sunday 15 September 2024?
20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Celta Vigo vs Valladolid (Celta Vigo or draw) at 95% double chance probability.
Which fixtures appear on this page?
Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.
How accurate are these double chance predictions?
Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.
Are these predictions betting tips?
No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.