Double Chance Predictions
Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability — Sunday 1 September 2024
Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.
20 matches cleared our threshold on Sunday 1 September 2024. PSV Eindhoven vs GO Ahead Eagles (PSV Eindhoven or draw) led the list at 89% in the Eredivisie. The shortlist runs from 89% down to 80%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.
The shortlist spans eight different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.
Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 16 landed the double chance market — 80%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.
Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.
Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Eredivisie · Netherlands
PSV Eindhoven or draw
89%
Veikkausliiga · Finland
SJK or draw
88%
Ekstraklasa · Poland
Gornik Zabrze or draw
87%
Serie A · Brazil
Cruzeiro or draw
86%
Thai League 1 · Thailand
Buriram United or draw
86%
Czech Liga · Czech-Republic
Slavia Praha or draw
85%
Ekstraklasa · Poland
Pogon Szczecin or draw
85%
2. Bundesliga · Germany
SC Paderborn 07 or draw
84%
Premier Division · Ireland
St Patrick's Athl. or draw
84%
Serie A · Italy
Udinese or draw
83%
Premier League · Russia
FC Rostov or draw
82%
Serie B · Italy
Spezia or draw
82%
La Liga · Spain
Real Madrid or draw
82%
2. Bundesliga · Germany
FC Schalke 04 or draw
82%
La Liga · Spain
Alaves or draw
82%
Veikkausliiga · Finland
KuPS or draw
81%
Süper Lig · Turkey
Başakşehir or draw
81%
Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
Kortrijk or draw
81%
Premier League · Russia
Krylia Sovetov or draw
81%
Thai League 1 · Thailand
Bangkok United or draw
80%
Showing top 20 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.
Related markets
Double Chance — common questions
What does the Double Chance market mean?
Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.
How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?
Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.
How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Sunday 1 September 2024?
20 fixtures met the criteria, led by PSV Eindhoven vs GO Ahead Eagles (PSV Eindhoven or draw) at 89% double chance probability.
Which fixtures appear on this page?
Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.
How accurate are these double chance predictions?
Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.
Are these predictions betting tips?
No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.