Double Chance Predictions
Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability — Sunday 25 August 2024
Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.
20 fixtures cleared the bar on Sunday 25 August 2024. The strongest reading belongs to Fortaleza EC vs Corinthians (Fortaleza EC or draw) at 89% in the Serie A. The shortlist runs from 89% down to 78%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.
Serie A supplies three of the top 10, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.
Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 17 landed the double chance market — 85%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.
Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.
Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Serie A · Brazil
Fortaleza EC or draw
89%
Veikkausliiga · Finland
KuPS or draw
88%
Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
Standard Liege or draw
88%
Championship · England
Swansea or draw
87%
La Liga · Spain
Real Madrid or draw
86%
Bundesliga · Austria
Wolfsberger AC or draw
86%
Serie A · Italy
Fiorentina or draw
85%
Serie A · Brazil
Sao Paulo or draw
85%
Superettan · Sweden
Ostersunds FK or draw
83%
Thai League 1 · Thailand
Bangkok United or draw
81%
Allsvenskan · Sweden
IF Elfsborg or draw
81%
Eliteserien · Norway
Viking or draw
81%
Veikkausliiga · Finland
HJK Helsinki or draw
80%
2. Bundesliga · Germany
Fortuna Düsseldorf or draw
80%
Premier League · Ukraine
Kryvbas KR or draw
79%
Ekstraklasa · Poland
Jagiellonia or draw
79%
Serie A · Italy
AS Roma or draw
78%
Premier League · Russia
Dynamo or draw
78%
K League 1 · South-Korea
Suwon City FC or draw
78%
Superettan · Sweden
Sandviken or draw
78%
Showing top 20 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.
Related markets
Double Chance — common questions
What does the Double Chance market mean?
Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.
How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?
Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.
How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Sunday 25 August 2024?
20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Fortaleza EC vs Corinthians (Fortaleza EC or draw) at 89% double chance probability.
Which fixtures appear on this page?
Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.
How accurate are these double chance predictions?
Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.
Are these predictions betting tips?
No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.